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Conference League
Referee: R Saggi
SK Rapid
S S S T U
2–0
Full-time
Neftchi Baku
T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SK Rapid Neftchi Baku
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
This season — Conference League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
33 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 2
12 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
14 Corners 4
0 Offside 8
23 Free kicks against 26
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Aug -22 Neftchi Baku – SK Rapid 2–1

Match report

SK Rapid Neftchi Baku
20′
🔁 M. Çelik
↦ A. Salahlı
36′
🟨 Ataa Jaber
Half-time 0–0
Y. Demir 🔁
↦ A. Bajić
57′
64′
🟨 Mert Çelik
1–0 M. Grüll ⚽
66′
R. Kerschbaum 🔁
↦ P. Greil
67′
F. Druijf 🔁
↦ N. Kühn
86′
Nikolas Sattlberger 🟨
90′
J. Auer 🔁
↦ T. Schick
90′
M. Oswald 🔁
↦ N. Sattlberger
99′
100′
🔁 A. Aliev
↦ K. Saief
105′
🔁 Ö. Buludov
↦ M. Mbodj
Martin Koscelník 🟨
107′
111′
🟨 Godsway Donyoh
2–0 F. Druijf ⚽
112′
115′
🟨 Eddy Silvestre
Moritz Oswald 🟨
117′
118′
🔁 F. Yusifli
↦ E. İsrafilov
118′
🔁 R. Hacıyev
↦ A. Jaber
118′
🔁 Guilherme Pato
↦ S. Kvirkvelia
119′
🟨 Farid Yusifli
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

SK Rapid

4-2-3-1
45 N. Hedl G
13 T. Schick D
20 M. Hofmann D
6 K. Wimmer D
22 M. Koscelník D
34 N. Sattlberger M
24 P. Greil M
7 N. Kühn M
27 M. Grüll M
29 A. Bajić M
9 G. Burgstaller F
Bench (12)
10 Y. Demir
5 R. Kerschbaum
38 F. Druijf
23 J. Auer
28 M. Oswald
19 M. Sollbauer
21 B. Unger
41 B. Zimmermann
25 P. Gartler
8 C. Knasmüllner
43 L. Querfeld
39 R. Kriwak

Coach: F. Feldhofer

Neftchi Baku

4-3-3
1 I. Brkić G
3 M. Mbodj D
4 S. Kvirkvelia D
6 V. Stanković D
19 A. Salahlı D
23 A. Jaber M
8 E. Mahmudov M
14 E. İsrafilov M
5 K. Saief F
11 G. Donyoh F
24 Y. Lawal F
Bench (11)
2 M. Çelik
7 A. Aliev
26 Ö. Buludov
27 F. Yusifli
17 R. Hacıyev
16 Guilherme Pato
21 İ. Zülfüqarlı
30 A. Məmmədov
20 V. Əsgərov
77 E. Bogomolskiy
82 R. Abbasov

Coach: L. Reghecampf

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Saggi · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.