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Conference League
Referee: B Berke
Neftchi Baku
T S S T U
2–0
Full-time
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Neftchi Baku Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/3 matches
Win Ø 37%
40%
33%
Points per game
1,4
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
60%
100%
Both score Ø 70%
40%
100%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,4
2,0
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — Conference League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
3,7
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

13 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 3
5 Offside 5
12 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Jul -23 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo – Neftchi Baku 2–2

Match report

Neftchi Baku Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
A. Salahlı 🔁
↦ A. Əliyev
19′
1–0 K. Saief ⚽
19′
Yuri Matias 🟨
44′
44′
🟨 Aleksandar Kosorić
45′
🟨 Edin Cocalić
Half-time 1–0
52′
🔁 A. Drljo
↦ H. Ovčina
65′
🔁 N. Turanjanin
↦ E. Rustemović
2–0 E. İsrafilov ⚽
68′
71′
🔁 H. Gasal
↦ E. Biber
72′
🔁 D. Dubačkić
↦ A. Kosorić
72′
🔁 J. Amoah
↦ D. Haračić
R. Hacıyev 🔁
↦ F. Ozobić
77′
80′
🟨 Sulejman Krpić
F. Yusifli 🔁
↦ E. Mahmudov
90′
İ. Zülfüqarlı 🔁
↦ Ö. Buludov
90′
E. Bogomolskiy 🔁
↦ K. Saief
90′
Ivan Brkić 🟨
98′
İsmayıl Zülfuqarlı 🟨
100′
100′
🟨 Irfan Jašarević
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Neftchi Baku

4-3-3
1 I. Brkić G
26 Ö. Buludov D
44 Yuri Matias D
4 M. Tamás D
7 A. Əliyev D
23 Ataa Jaber M
8 E. Mahmudov M
14 E. İsrafilov M
5 K. Saief M
10 F. Ozobić M
11 K. Lebon M
Bench (10)
19 A. Salahlı
17 R. Hacıyev
27 F. Yusifli
21 İ. Zülfüqarlı
77 E. Bogomolskiy
99 E. Koffi
93 R. Cəfərov
30 A. Məmmədov
3 H. Haqqverdi
37 E. Əlibəyli

Coach: A. Mutu

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo

4-3-1-2
13 V. Muftić G
24 M. Galić D
5 A. Kosorić D
6 E. Cocalić D
33 I. Jašarević D
77 H. Ovčina F
44 E. Rustemović M
18 E. Biber M
8 N. Mekić M
9 D. Haračić F
7 S. Krpić F
Bench (8)
17 A. Drljo
21 N. Turanjanin
11 H. Gasal
30 D. Dubačkić
26 J. Amoah
1 A. Mulalić
23 O. Beća
3 A. Musić

Coach: N. Bašić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Berke · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,50 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.