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Conference League
Referee: António Nobre
Dnipro-1
T T S U S
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dnipro-1 Apollon Limassol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
This season — Conference League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
10 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 1
4 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Dnipro-1 Apollon Limassol
27′
🟨 Vukašin Jovanović
1–0 O. Pikhalyonok
V. Adamyuk
39′
Half-time 1–0
68′
🔁
↦ P. Joosten
68′
🔁 A. Khammas
↦ D. Spoljaric
68′
🔁 B. Dabo
↦ H. Ongenda
68′
🔁 N. Diguiny
↦ E. Henty
I. Kogut 🔁
↦ V. Rubchynskyi
70′
79′
🔁 Bassel Jradi
↦ Euclides Cabral
M. Kononov 🔁
↦ V. Tanchyk
82′
S. Loginov 🔁
↦ O. Pikhalyonok
85′
Busanello 🔁
↦ O. Nazarenko
85′
88′
🟥 Bassel Jradi
94′
🟨 Nicolas Diguiny
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Dnipro-1

4-4-2
93 Max Walef G
3 V. Adamyuk D
39 O. Svatok D
5 E. Sarapyi D
13 Y. Hamache D
34 V. Tanchyk M
18 R. Babenko M
22 V. Rubchynskyi M
29 O. Nazarenko M
8 O. Pikhalyonok F
7 A. Dovbyk F
Bench (7)
25 I. Kogut
2 M. Kononov
15 S. Loginov
6 Busanello
1 V. Rybak
33 V. Yurchuk
12 Y. Kinareykin

Coach: O. Kucher

Apollon Limassol

4-4-2
26 A. Jovanović G
19 Euclides Cabral D
25 C. Kyriakou D
4 V. Jovanović D
29 H. Aleesami D
9 I. Pittas M
20 D. Spoljaric M
77 I. Coll M
65 P. Joosten M
90 E. Henty F
10 H. Ongenda F
Bench (10)
23
24 A. Khammas
11 B. Dabo
28 N. Diguiny
93 Bassel Jradi
99 D. Demetriou
6 P. Artymatas
78 G. Loizou
5 M. Peybernes
36 I. Shahar

Coach: David Català

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

António Nobre · 138 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.