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Europa League
Referee: T Stieler
Dnipro-1
1–2
Full-time
AEK Larnaca
U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Dnipro-1 AEK Larnaca
16′
⚽ O. Altman 0–1
29′
⚽ O. Svatok 1–1
own goal
Half-time 1–1
A. Gromov 🔁
↦ I. Kogut
46′
59′
🔁 J. Romo
↦ Rafael Lopes
59′
🔁 Ismael Casas
↦ N. Englezou
O. Nazarenko 🔁
↦ E. Purita
61′
62′
🟨 Gus Ledes
Eduard Sarapiy 🟨
63′
66′
🔁 Bruno Gama
↦ I. Faraj
86′
🔁 I. Trichkovski
↦ Á. Gyurcsó
86′
🔁 R. Mamas
↦ Gus Ledes
2–1 O. Svatok ⚽
O. Pikhalyonok
90′
93′
🟨 Ismael Casas
Eduard Sarapiy 🟨
95′
Eduard Sarapiy 🟥
95′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Dnipro-1

4-2-3-1
93 Max Walef G
34 V. Tanchyk M
3 V. Adamyuk D
39 O. Svatok D
6 Busanello D
25 I. Kogut M
5 E. Sarapyi D
4 E. Purita D
8 O. Pikhalyonok M
23 D. Blanco M
7 A. Dovbyk F
Bench (8)
11 A. Gromov
29 O. Nazarenko
18 R. Babenko
33 V. Yurchuk
1 V. Rybak
2 M. Kononov
22 V. Rubchynskyi
15 S. Loginov

Coach: O. Kucher

AEK Larnaca

4-2-1-3
38 I. Toumpas G
16 R. Rosales D
15 H. Miličević D
3 Mikel González D
21 N. Englezou M
6 Oier M
7 Gus Ledes M
51 O. Altman M
11 I. Faraj F
12 Rafael Lopes F
45 Á. Gyurcsó M
Bench (11)
9 J. Romo
5 Ismael Casas
8 Bruno Gama
10 I. Trichkovski
66 R. Mamas
29 G. Naoum
1 K. Pirić
19 V. Olatunji
24 K. Christoforou
40 D. Stylianidis
30 H. Andreou

Coach: José Luis Oltra

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

Referee

T Stieler · 148 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.