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Primeira Liga

Referee: Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida

Sp Lisbon

S S T U S

5–0

Full-time

Sp Braga

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Sp Braga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 84%

67%

100%

Points per game

2,2

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

2,0

2,5

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,8

This season — Primeira Liga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 68%

59%

76%

Points per game

1,9

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

76%

59%

Both score Ø 38%

47%

29%

Average goals

3,1

Scored

1,9

2,3

Conceded

1,1

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

65% Possession 35%

22 Shots 4

9 Shots on target 4

8 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

10 Corners 1

3 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sp Lisbon 4. · Sp Braga 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	19	16	2	1	+36	50
2	Porto	18	13	3	2	+32	42
3	Sp Braga	17	13	1	3	+26	40
4	Sp Lisbon	17	10	2	5	+14	32
5	Casa Pia	18	9	3	6	+1	30
6	Guimaraes	18	8	3	7	-3	27
7	Arouca	18	7	5	6	-6	26
8	Vizela	18	7	3	8	+4	24
9	Boavista	17	7	3	7	-7	24
10	Chaves	18	5	7	6	-6	22
11	Rio Ave	18	5	6	7	-5	21
12	Famalicao	18	6	3	9	-6	21
13	Portimonense	18	6	2	10	-10	20
14	Estoril	17	5	4	8	-6	19
15	Gil Vicente	18	5	3	10	-8	18
16	Santa Clara	18	3	5	10	-11	14
17	Maritimo	18	3	4	11	-22	13
18	Pacos Ferreira	19	2	3	14	-23	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	9	8	1	0	+21	25
2	Porto	8	7	0	1	+23	21
3	Sp Lisbon	8	7	0	1	+16	21
4	Guimaraes	10	6	2	2	+4	20
5	Boavista	10	5	3	2	+0	18
6	Sp Braga	8	5	1	2	+10	16
7	Famalicao	9	5	1	3	+3	16
8	Arouca	10	5	1	4	+0	16
9	Casa Pia	10	4	2	4	+0	14
10	Vizela	9	4	1	4	+5	13
11	Rio Ave	8	4	1	3	+2	13
12	Portimonense	9	3	2	4	-2	11
13	Gil Vicente	9	3	2	4	-2	11
14	Santa Clara	9	2	3	4	-6	9
15	Chaves	8	1	5	2	-1	8
16	Estoril	7	2	2	3	-4	8
17	Maritimo	9	2	2	5	-4	8
18	Pacos Ferreira	11	1	2	8	-13	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	10	8	1	1	+15	25
2	Sp Braga	9	8	0	1	+16	24
3	Porto	10	6	3	1	+9	21
4	Casa Pia	8	5	1	2	+1	16
5	Chaves	10	4	2	4	-5	14
6	Vizela	9	3	2	4	-1	11
7	Sp Lisbon	9	3	2	4	-2	11
8	Estoril	10	3	2	5	-2	11
9	Arouca	8	2	4	2	-6	10
10	Portimonense	9	3	0	6	-8	9
11	Rio Ave	10	1	5	4	-7	8
12	Gil Vicente	9	2	1	6	-6	7
13	Guimaraes	8	2	1	5	-7	7
14	Boavista	7	2	0	5	-7	6
15	Santa Clara	9	1	2	6	-5	5
16	Famalicao	9	1	2	6	-9	5
17	Maritimo	9	1	2	6	-18	5
18	Pacos Ferreira	8	1	1	6	-10	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.