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Eliteserien

Lillestrom

U S T S S

3–1

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,3

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

0,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,7

This season — Eliteserien · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 32%

39%

25%

Points per game

1,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

54%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

54%

64%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lillestrom 8. · Sarpsborg 08 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	28	19	6	3	+44	63
2	Stromsgodset	28	16	5	7	+22	53
3	Stabaek	28	16	5	7	+15	53
4	Odd	28	14	9	5	+15	51
5	Viking	28	16	2	10	+15	50
6	Valerenga	28	14	5	9	+8	47
7	Molde	28	13	7	8	+25	46
8	Lillestrom	28	11	9	8	+5	42
9	Bodo/Glimt	28	11	4	13	-6	37
10	Aalesund	28	10	5	13	-15	35
11	Sarpsborg 08	28	7	10	11	-11	31
12	Haugesund	28	8	7	13	-17	31
13	Tromso	28	5	8	15	-17	23
14	Start	28	5	7	16	-25	22
15	Mjondalen	28	4	9	15	-28	21
16	Sandefjord	28	4	4	20	-30	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	14	10	4	0	+23	34
2	Stromsgodset	14	10	3	1	+17	33
3	Viking	14	9	2	3	+9	29
4	Stabaek	14	9	2	3	+8	29
5	Lillestrom	14	8	3	3	+6	27
6	Molde	14	7	4	3	+19	25
7	Odd	14	6	6	2	+6	24
8	Aalesund	14	7	3	4	+2	24
9	Valerenga	14	7	1	6	+5	22
10	Bodo/Glimt	14	7	1	6	+1	22
11	Tromso	14	4	6	4	-3	18
12	Sarpsborg 08	14	5	3	6	-5	18
13	Start	14	4	3	7	-8	15
14	Mjondalen	14	4	3	7	-12	15
15	Sandefjord	14	4	2	8	-6	14
16	Haugesund	14	3	5	6	-7	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	14	9	2	3	+21	29
2	Odd	14	8	3	3	+9	27
3	Valerenga	14	7	4	3	+3	25
4	Stabaek	14	7	3	4	+7	24
5	Viking	14	7	0	7	+6	21
6	Molde	14	6	3	5	+6	21
7	Stromsgodset	14	6	2	6	+5	20
8	Haugesund	14	5	2	7	-10	17
9	Lillestrom	14	3	6	5	-1	15
10	Bodo/Glimt	14	4	3	7	-7	15
11	Sarpsborg 08	14	2	7	5	-6	13
12	Aalesund	14	3	2	9	-17	11
13	Start	14	1	4	9	-17	7
14	Mjondalen	14	0	6	8	-16	6
15	Tromso	14	1	2	11	-14	5
16	Sandefjord	14	0	2	12	-24	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.