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Eliteserien
Referee: Rohit Saggi
Lillestrom
S T U T U
4–1
Full-time
Tromso
T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Tromso
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 25%
20%
30%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
40%
50%
Both score Ø 65%
60%
70%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%
20 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
13 Corners 4
6 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Lillestrom 15. · Tromso 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 10 6 3 1 +9 21
2 Brann 10 6 2 2 +14 20
3 Sarpsborg 08 10 6 2 2 +10 20
4 Odd 11 6 1 4 +0 19
5 Stabaek 10 5 3 2 +5 18
6 Aalesund 10 5 2 3 +3 17
7 Molde 10 4 2 4 +1 14
8 Sandefjord 11 4 2 5 -5 14
9 Tromso 10 3 4 3 -1 13
10 Valerenga 10 4 1 5 -3 13
11 Sogndal 10 3 2 5 -2 11
12 Haugesund 10 3 2 5 -3 11
13 Kristiansund 10 3 2 5 -6 11
14 Stromsgodset 10 2 4 4 -5 10
15 Lillestrom 10 2 2 6 -7 8
16 Viking 10 1 2 7 -10 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Tromso
1′
M. Ingebrigtsen 0–1
1–1 S. Udodji
9′
B. Innocent 🔁
↦ F. Krogstad
32′
36′
🟨 Gjermund Aasen
Half-time 1–1
50′
🟨 Simen Wangberg
Frode Kippe 🟨
51′
2–1 E. Knudtzon
I. Matthew
54′
62′
🟥 Kent-Are Antonsen
3–1 E. Knudtzon
73′
74′
🔁 H. Norbye
↦ U. Jenssen
74′
🔁 E. Samb
↦ M. Ingebrigtsen
Aleksander Melgalvis 🟨
76′
4–1 E. Knudtzon
S. Udodji
77′
M. Škoda 🔁
↦ E. Knudtzon
81′
84′
🔁 C. Landu Landu
↦ Morten Pedersen
B. Ajeti 🔁
↦ S. Udodji
85′
Bajram Ajeti 🟨
90′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Lillestrom

4-4-2
77 A. Origi G
13 F. Kippe D
4 M. Amundsen D
3 S. Mikalsen D
2 M. Haakenstad D
23 S. Udodji F
5 S. Rafn D
33 A. Melgalvis M
14 F. Krogstad M
6 I. Matthew M
11 E. Knudtzon F
Bench (7)
18 B. Innocent
27 M. Škoda
9 B. Ajeti
15 E. Brenden
29 E. Ødegaard
7 T. Malec
22 S. Antonijevic

Coach: A. Erlandsen

Tromso

4-2-3-1
28 J. Karlstrom G
5 M. Ødegaard D
22 S. Wangberg D
3 K. Antonsen M
26 J. Gundersen D
7 Morten Pedersen M
17 A. Sigurdarson F
8 U. Jenssen D
24 M. Ingebrigtsen F
10 T. Olsen F
23 G. Åsen F
Bench (6)
14 H. Norbye
18 E. Samb
6 C. Landu Landu
16 P. Kpozo
31 E. Jacobsen
15 M. Andersen

Coach: B. Flovik

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rohit Saggi · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.