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Europa League
Referee: I Peljto
Ein Frankfurt
S T T S T
4–1
Full-time
Ajax
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt Ajax
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
2,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 9/17 matches
Win Ø 63%
67%
59%
Points per game
2,1
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
56%
59%
Both score Ø 49%
56%
41%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,9
Conceded
1,2
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,45 xG 0,56
53% Possession 47%
16 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 7
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Mar -25 Ajax – Ein Frankfurt 1–2

Match report

Ein Frankfurt Ajax
1–0 J. Bahoya
H. Ekitiké
7′
2–0 M. Götze
R. Koch
25′
Half-time 2–0
63′
🔁 M. Godts
↦ S. Berghuis
63′
🔁 K. Taylor
↦ J. Mokio
63′
🔁 B. Traoré
↦ D. Konadu
3–0 H. Ekitiké
J. Bahoya
67′
69′
🔁 A. Gaaei
↦ Lucas Rosa
C. Uzun 🔁
↦ J. Bahoya
72′
Mahmoud Dahoud 🔁
↦ E. Skhiri
76′
M. Batshuayi 🔁
↦ H. Ekitiké
77′
78′
🔁 J. Hato
↦ D. Janse
78′
K. Taylor 3–1
M. Godts
4–1 M. Götze
A. Knauff
82′
A. Amenda 🔁
↦ R. Kristensen
85′
F. Chaïbi 🔁
↦ M. Götze
85′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Ein Frankfurt

4-2-3-1
40 Kauã Santos G
13 R. Kristensen D
4 R. Koch D
35 Tuta D
21 N. Brown D
15 E. Skhiri M
16 H. Larsson M
36 A. Knauff M
27 M. Götze M
19 J. Bahoya M
11 H. Ekitiké F
Bench (10)
20 C. Uzun
18 Mahmoud Dahoud
30 M. Batshuayi
5 A. Amenda
8 F. Chaïbi
39 Y. Obert
17 E. Wahi
47 N. Fenyö
42 A. Siljevic
29 N. Nkounkou

Coach: D. Toppmöller

Ajax

3-4-2-1
16 Matheus G
24 D. Rugani D
36 D. Janse D
13 A. Kaplan D
2 Lucas Rosa M
31 J. Mokio M
21 B. van den Boomen M
17 O. Edvardsen M
23 S. Berghuis F
18 D. Klaassen F
59 D. Konadu F
Bench (12)
11 M. Godts
8 K. Taylor
20 B. Traoré
3 A. Gaaei
4 J. Hato
19 J. Rijkhoff
37 J. Šutalo
12 J. Gorter
51 C. Setford
28 K. Fitz-Jim
46 L. Jetten
9 B. Brobbey

Coach: F. Farioli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

I Peljto · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.