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Europa League
Referee: João Pedro Pinheiro
Tottenham
S S T T U
3–1
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tottenham AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 9/11 matches
Win Ø 51%
56%
45%
Points per game
1,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
67%
55%
Both score Ø 60%
56%
64%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,9
1,8
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,23 xG 1,19
60% Possession 40%
17 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Tottenham AZ Alkmaar
1–0 W. Odobert
D. Solanke
26′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. de Wit
↦ I. Sadiq
2–0 J. Maddison
Son Heung-Min
48′
A. Gray 🔁
↦ M. van de Ven
61′
63′
P. Koopmeiners 2–1
68′
🔁 K. Smit
↦ Z. Buurmeester
3–1 W. Odobert
D. Solanke
74′
Y. Bissouma 🔁
↦ J. Maddison
77′
B. Johnson 🔁
↦ W. Odobert
78′
80′
🔁 M. Meerdink
↦ S. Maikuma
B. Davies 🔁
↦ L. Bergvall
85′
87′
🔁 K. Belić
↦ W. Goes
95′
🟨 Jordy Clasie
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Tottenham

4-3-3
1 G. Vicario G
23 Pedro Porro D
17 C. Romero D
37 M. van de Ven D
24 D. Spence D
29 P. Sarr M
15 L. Bergvall M
10 J. Maddison M
28 W. Odobert F
19 D. Solanke F
7 Son Heung-Min F
Bench (10)
14 A. Gray
8 Y. Bissouma
22 B. Johnson
33 B. Davies
11 M. Tel
41 A. Whiteman
44 D. Scarlett
40 B. Austin
13 D. Udogie
47 M. Moore

Coach: A. Postecoglou

AZ Alkmaar

4-2-3-1
1 R. Owusu-Oduro G
16 S. Maikuma D
3 W. Goes D
5 Alexandre Penetra D
18 D. Møller Wolfe D
6 P. Koopmeiners M
8 J. Clasie M
11 I. Sadiq M
28 Z. Buurmeester M
21 E. Poku M
9 T. Parrott F
Bench (11)
34 M. de Wit
26 K. Smit
35 M. Meerdink
14 K. Belić
41 J. Zoet
52 E. Dijkstra
49 W. Bouziane
22 M. Dekker
78 S. van Duijn
12 H. Verhulst
4 B. Martins Indi

Coach: M. Martens

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

João Pedro Pinheiro · 221 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.