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Europa League
Referee: B Bastien
Man United
U S U U U
4–1
Full-time
Sociedad
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man United Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 9/11 matches
Win Ø 56%
56%
55%
Points per game
2,1
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
44%
64%
Both score Ø 76%
78%
73%
Average goals
3,0
3,1
Scored
1,9
1,9
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

4,25 xG 1,05
60% Possession 40%
25 Shots 8
10 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Man United Sociedad
8′
ℹ️ Mikel Oyarzabal
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Matthijs de Ligt 🟨
9′
10′
Mikel Oyarzabal 0–1
14′
🟨 Igor Zubeldia
1–1 Bruno Fernandes
16′
39′
🟨 Pablo Marín
Half-time 2–1
2–1 Bruno Fernandes
50′
51′
🟨 Martín Zubimendi
55′
🔁 Barrenetxea
↦ S. Becker
56′
🔁 J. Aramburu
↦ Zubeldia
56′
🔁 Beñat Turrientes
↦ Pablo Marín
63′
🟥 Jon Aramburu
64′
🟨 Mikel Oyarzabal
69′
🟨 Aritz Elustondo
74′
🟨 Ander Barrenetxea
76′
🔁 O. Óskarsson
↦ T. Kubo
T. Collyer 🔁
↦ Casemiro
79′
80′
🔁 H. Traoré
↦ Aritz Elustondo
Patrick Dorgu ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
85′
3–1 Bruno Fernandes
A. Garnacho
87′
89′
🟨 Nayef Aguerd
C. Eriksen 🔁
↦ J. Zirkzee
89′
4–1 Diogo Dalot
R. Højlund
91′
Toby Collyer 🟨
94′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Man United

3-4-2-1
24 A. Onana G
3 N. Mazraoui D
4 M. de Ligt D
26 A. Heaven D
20 Diogo Dalot M
18 Casemiro M
8 Bruno Fernandes M
13 P. Dorgu M
17 A. Garnacho F
11 J. Zirkzee F
9 R. Højlund F
Bench (10)
43 T. Collyer
14 C. Eriksen
55 T. Fredricson
57 J. Fletcher
41 H. Amass
50 E. Harrison
45 D. Mee
63 J. Scanlon
2 V. Lindelöf
25 M. Ugarte

Coach: Ruben Amorim

Sociedad

4-3-3
1 Álex Remiro G
6 Aritz Elustondo D
5 Zubeldia D
21 N. Aguerd D
3 Aihen Muñoz D
23 Brais Méndez M
4 Martín Zubimendi M
28 Pablo Marín M
14 T. Kubo F
10 Mikel Oyarzabal F
11 S. Becker F
Bench (12)
7 Barrenetxea
19 J. Aramburu
22 Beñat Turrientes
9 O. Óskarsson
18 H. Traoré
12 Javi López
31 Jon Martín
16 Jon Olasagasti
40 Arkaitz Mariezkurrena
13 Unai Marrero
17 Sergio Gómez
37 Luken Beitia

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Bastien · 180 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.