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Europa League
Referee: D Makkelie
Lazio
U T S S U
1–1
Full-time
Plzen
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Plzen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 9/15 matches
Win Ø 66%
78%
53%
Points per game
2,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
67%
60%
Both score Ø 55%
56%
53%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
2,1
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,90 xG 0,64
53% Possession 47%
15 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
12 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Mar -25 Plzen – Lazio 1–2

Match report

Lazio Plzen
1′
🟨 Sampson Dweh
Adam Marušić 🟨
3′
39′
🟨 Rafiu Durosinmi
Half-time 0–1
52′
⚽ P. Šulc 0–1
R. Durosinmi
M. Lazzari 🔁
↦ Nuno Tavares
67′
B. Dia 🔁
↦ V. Castellanos
67′
Matías Vecino 🟨
69′
72′
🔁 P. Adu
↦ R. Durosinmi
1–1 A. Romagnoli ⚽
M. Zaccagni
77′
78′
🔁 A. Sojka
↦ M. Vydra
78′
🔁 Merchas Doski
↦ Cadu
Mario Gila 🔁
↦ Patric
79′
F. Dele-Bashiru 🔁
↦ Pedro
79′
86′
🔁 J. Kopic
↦ A. Memić
86′
🔁 J. Panoš
↦ L. Kalvach
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Lazio

4-2-3-1
94 I. Provedel G
77 A. Marušić D
4 Patric D
13 A. Romagnoli D
30 Nuno Tavares D
8 M. Guendouzi M
5 M. Vecino M
18 G. Isaksen M
9 Pedro M
10 M. Zaccagni M
11 V. Castellanos F
Bench (8)
29 M. Lazzari
19 B. Dia
34 Mario Gila
7 F. Dele-Bashiru
35 C. Mandas
20 L. Tchaouna
14 T. Noslin
55 A. Furlanetto

Coach: M. Baroni

Plzen

5-3-2
16 M. Jedlička G
99 A. Memić D
40 S. Dweh D
3 S. Marković D
21 V. Jemelka D
22 Cadu D
6 L. Červ M
23 L. Kalvach M
31 P. Šulc M
17 R. Durosinmi F
11 M. Vydra F
Bench (10)
80 P. Adu
12 A. Sojka
14 Merchas Doski
10 J. Kopic
20 J. Panoš
32 M. Valenta
30 V. Baier
2 L. Hejda
5 J. Paluska
13 M. Tvrdoň

Coach: M. Koubek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.