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Champions League
Referee: M Guida
Club Brugge
S T T S S
3–0
Full-time
Marseille
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Marseille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
5,5
5,2
Scored
3,3
3,8
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+2,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 11/7 matches
Win Ø 49%
55%
43%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 89%
91%
86%
Both score Ø 56%
55%
57%
Average goals
4,1
3,1
Scored
2,3
1,6
Conceded
1,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,41 xG 1,03
37% Possession 63%
11 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 4
9 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 10
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Club Brugge Marseille
1–0 M. Diakhon ⚽
A. Stankovic
4′
2–0 R. Vermant ⚽
A. Stankovic
11′
22′
🟨 Amir Murillo
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 I. Paixao
↦ H. J. Traore
Hans Vanaken 🟨
50′
53′
🔁 P. Aubameyang
↦ M. Murillo
C. Tzolis 🔁
↦ M. Diakhon
69′
J. Spileers 🔁
↦ J. Ordonez
72′
3–0 A. Stankovic ⚽
C. Forbs
79′
80′
🟨 Amine Gouiri
N. Tresoldi 🔁
↦ R. Vermant
86′
H. Vetlesen 🔁
↦ A. Stankovic
86′
H. Siquet 🔁
↦ K. Sabbe
86′
86′
🔁 M. O'Riley
↦ G. Kondogbia
86′
🔁 B. Nadir
↦ A. Gouiri
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Club Brugge

4-2-3-1
22 S. Mignolet G
64 K. Sabbe D
4 J. Ordonez D
44 B. Mechele D
65 J. Seys D
25 A. Stankovic M
15 R. Onyedika M
9 C. Forbs M
20 H. Vanaken M
67 M. Diakhon M
17 R. Vermant F
Bench (10)
29 N. Jackers
6 L. Reis
7 N. Tresoldi
8 C. Tzolis
10 H. Vetlesen
11 C. Sandra
14 B. Meijer
41 H. Siquet
58 J. Spileers
84 S. Campbell

Coach: Ivan Leko

Marseille

4-2-3-1
1 G. Rulli G
62 M. Murillo D
5 L. Balerdi D
21 N. Aguerd D
32 F. Medina D
19 G. Kondogbia M
23 P. Hojbjerg M
10 M. Greenwood M
20 H. J. Traore M
22 T. Weah M
9 A. Gouiri F
Bench (10)
12 J. De Lange
40 J. Van Neck
4 C. Egan-Riley
8 A. Gomes
14 I. Paixao
17 M. O'Riley
18 A. Vermeeren
26 B. Nadir
50 D. Bakola
97 P. Aubameyang

Coach: Habib Beye

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Guida · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.