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Champions League
Referee: S Vincic
Paris SG
S T S T S
1–1
Full-time
Newcastle
U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Newcastle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 57%
57%
57%
Points per game
1,9
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 86%
86%
86%
Both score Ø 57%
71%
43%
Average goals
4,3
3,1
Scored
2,9
2,3
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+1,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,52 xG 1,07
67% Possession 33%
25 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Nov -23 Paris SG – Newcastle 1–1 4. Oct -23 Newcastle – Paris SG 4–1

Match report

Paris SG Newcastle
Bradley Barcola ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
2′
1–0 Vitinha ⚽
K. Kvaratskhelia
8′
20′
🟨 Anthony Elanga
D. Doue 🔁
↦ K. Kvaratskhelia
22′
45′
⚽ J. Willock 1–1
D. Burn
Half-time 1–1
67′
🔁 A. Gordon
↦ A. Elanga
68′
🔁 H. Barnes
↦ J. Willock
G. Ramos 🔁
↦ B. Barcola
70′
79′
🔁 Y. Wissa
↦ N. Woltemade
S. Mayulu 🔁
↦ W. Zaire-Emery
87′
I. Mbaye 🔁
↦ J. Neves
87′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Paris SG

4-3-3
39 M. Safonov G
2 A. Hakimi D
5 Marquinhos D
51 W. Pacho D
25 N. Mendes D
87 J. Neves M
17 Vitinha M
33 W. Zaire-Emery M
7 K. Kvaratskhelia F
10 O. Dembele F
29 B. Barcola F
Bench (9)
30 L. Chevalier
60 M. James
4 L. Beraldo
6 I. Zabarnyi
9 G. Ramos
14 D. Doue
21 L. Hernandez
24 S. Mayulu
49 I. Mbaye

Coach: Enrique Luis

Newcastle

3-4-2-1
1 N. Pope G
12 M. Thiaw D
4 S. Botman D
33 D. Burn D
67 L. Miley M
41 J. Ramsey M
8 S. Tonali M
3 L. Hall M
20 A. Elanga F
28 J. Willock F
27 N. Woltemade F
Bench (11)
32 A. Ramsdale
2 K. Trippier
9 Y. Wissa
10 A. Gordon
11 H. Barnes
18 W. Osula
23 J. Murphy
37 A. Murphy
39 Bruno Guimaraes
61 L. Shahar
58 A. Harris

Coach: Eddie Howe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Vincic · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.