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Champions League
Referee: I Kruzliak
Liverpool
U S U S T
6–0
Full-time
Qarabag
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool Qarabag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,8
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 7/13 matches
Win Ø 67%
71%
62%
Points per game
2,1
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
57%
69%
Both score Ø 53%
43%
62%
Average goals
3,1
3,7
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

5,91 xG 0,22
56% Possession 44%
38 Shots 5
12 Shots on target 1
16 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
14 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 3
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Liverpool Qarabag
W. Endo 🔁
↦ J. Frimpong
4′
1–0 A. Mac Allister ⚽
V. van Dijk
15′
2–0 F. Wirtz ⚽
H. Ekitike
21′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 M. Salah ⚽
D. Szoboszlai
50′
4–0 H. Ekitike ⚽
57′
5–0 A. Mac Allister ⚽
61′
T. Nyoni 🔁
↦ H. Ekitike
67′
R. Ngumoha 🔁
↦ F. Wirtz
67′
67′
🔁 N. Akhundzade
↦ C. Duran
67′
🔁 Dani Bolt
↦ Leandro Andrade
67′
🔁 T. Bayramov
↦ E. Cafarquliyev
70′
🟨 Marko Janković
F. Chiesa 🔁
↦ C. Gakpo
74′
A. Nallo 🔁
↦ D. Szoboszlai
74′
81′
🔁 E. Addai
↦ A. Zoubir
85′
🔁 M. Qurbanly
↦ J. Montiel
6–0 F. Chiesa ⚽
V. van Dijk
90′
Full-time 6–0

Line-ups

Liverpool

4-2-3-1
1 Alisson G
30 J. Frimpong D
38 R. Gravenberch D
4 V. van Dijk D
26 A. Robertson D
8 D. Szoboszlai M
10 A. Mac Allister M
11 M. Salah M
7 F. Wirtz M
18 C. Gakpo M
22 H. Ekitike F
Bench (9)
25 G. Mamardashvili
28 F. Woodman
3 W. Endo
6 M. Kerkez
14 F. Chiesa
42 T. Nyoni
65 A. Nallo
68 K. Morrison
73 R. Ngumoha

Coach: Arne Slot

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
99 M. Kochalski G
2 Matheus Silva D
13 B. Mustafazada D
81 K. Medina D
44 E. Cafarquliyev D
35 Pedro Bicalho M
8 M. Jankovic M
15 Leandro Andrade M
9 J. Montiel M
10 A. Zoubir
17 C. Duran F
Bench (12)
89 A. Ramazanov
97 F. Buntic
3 S. Mmaee
6 Chriso
7 N. Akhundzade
11 E. Addai
18 Dani Bolt
21 O. Kashchuk
22 M. Qurbanly
27 T. Bayramov
30 A. Huseynov
55 B. Huseynov

Coach: Qurban Qurbanov

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Kruzliak · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.