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Champions League
Referee: E Eskas
Leverkusen
S T T T S
3–0
Full-time
Villarreal
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 15%
29%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
43%
57%
Both score Ø 50%
57%
43%
Average goals
3,4
2,9
Scored
1,4
0,7
Conceded
2,0
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-1,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,03 xG 0,25
65% Possession 35%
15 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 1
0 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Leverkusen Villarreal
1–0 M. Tillman ⚽
12′
2–0 M. Tillman ⚽
P. Schick
35′
45′
🟨 Pau Navarro
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 G. Mikautadze
↦ T. Partey
46′
🔁 H. Lopez
↦ T. Buchanan
52′
🟨 Rafa Marín
55′
🟨 Nicolas Pépé
3–0 A. Grimaldo ⚽
Lucas
57′
Arthur 🔁
↦ Lucas
62′
C. Kofane 🔁
↦ P. Schick
62′
65′
🔁 D. Parejo
↦ A. Diatta
69′
🔁 D. Budesca
↦ N. Pepe
E. Poku 🔁
↦ I. Maza
70′
E. Palacios 🔁
↦ A. Garcia
70′
82′
🔁 P. Gueye
↦ S. Comesana
E. Tapsoba 🔁
↦ A. Grimaldo
89′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Leverkusen

3-4-2-1
28 J. Blaswich G
4 J. Quansah D
8 R. Andrich D
5 L. Bade D
21 Lucas M
6 E. Fernandez M
24 A. Garcia M
20 A. Grimaldo M
10 M. Tillman F
30 I. Maza F
14 P. Schick F
Bench (9)
18 J. Omlin
36 N. Lomb
12 E. Tapsoba
13 Arthur
16 A. Tape
19 E. Poku
25 E. Palacios
35 C. Kofane
42 M. Culbreath

Coach: Kasper Hjulmand

Villarreal

4-4-2
25 A. Tenas G
26 P. Navarro D
4 R. Marin D
12 R. Veiga D
23 S. Cardona D
17 T. Buchanan M
14 S. Comesana M
16 T. Partey M
38 A. Diatta M
21 T. Oluwaseyi F
19 N. Pepe F
Bench (10)
1 Luiz Junior
13 D. Conde
7 G. Moreno
9 G. Mikautadze
10 D. Parejo
18 P. Gueye
20 A. Moleiro
24 A. Pedraza
30 D. Budesca
32 H. Lopez

Coach: Marcelino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Eskas · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.