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Champions League
Referee: I Peljto
FC Copenhagen
T S T S S
1–1
Full-time
Napoli
S U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Copenhagen Napoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 12/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 38%
42%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,38 xG 1,54
30% Possession 70%
5 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 11
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Match report

FC Copenhagen Napoli
Thomas Delaney ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
34′
Thomas Delaney 🟥
35′
P. Hatzidiakos 🔁
↦ V. Dadason
36′
39′
⚽ S. McTominay 0–1
E. Elmas
40′
🟨 Rasmus Højlund
Mohamed Elyounoussi 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–1
J. Larsson 🔁
↦ E. Achouri
63′
W. Clem 🔁
↦ A. Cornelius
63′
63′
🔁 M. Olivera
↦ L. Spinazzola
63′
🔁 N. Lang
↦ A. Vergara
1–1 J. Larsson ⚽
72′
75′
🔁 G. Ambrosino
↦ M. Gutierrez
80′
🔁 L. Lucca
↦ E. Elmas
M. Garananga 🔁
↦ B. Meling
81′
V. Claesson 🔁
↦ M. Madsen
81′
82′
🟨 Giovanni Di Lorenzo
William Clem 🟨
97′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

FC Copenhagen

4-4-2
1 D. Kotarski G
24 B. Meling D
5 Gabriel Pereira D
20 J. Suzuki D
15 M. Lopez D
10 M. Elyounoussi M
27 T. Delaney M
21 M. Madsen M
30 E. Achouri M
14 A. Cornelius F
39 V. Dadason F
Bench (12)
31 R. A. Runarsson
61 O. Buur
4 M. Garananga
6 P. Hatzidiakos
7 V. Claesson
9 Y. Moukoko
11 J. Larsson
16 Robert
23 D. Sarapata
36 W. Clem
38 O. Hojer
42 G. Ankamafio

Coach: Bo Svensson

Napoli

3-4-2-1
32 V. Milinkovic-Savic G
22 G. Di Lorenzo D
4 A. Buongiorno D
5 Juan Jesus D
3 M. Gutierrez M
68 S. Lobotka M
8 S. McTominay M
37 L. Spinazzola M
26 A. Vergara F
20 E. Elmas F
19 R. Hojlund F
Bench (10)
14 N. Contini
25 M. Ferrante
9 R. Lukaku
17 M. Olivera
27 L. Lucca
31 S. Beukema
52 E. De Chiara
58 V. Prisco
69 G. Ambrosino
70 N. Lang

Coach: Antonio Conte

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Peljto · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.