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Champions League
Referee: I Kruzliak
Villarreal
S T S U S
2–3
Full-time
FC Copenhagen
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal FC Copenhagen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 5/11 matches
Win Ø 23%
0%
45%
Points per game
0,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
40%
45%
Both score Ø 28%
20%
36%
Average goals
2,4
3,0
Scored
0,4
1,6
Conceded
2,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,6
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,08 xG 1,36
52% Possession 48%
19 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Villarreal FC Copenhagen
2′
⚽ M. Elyounoussi 0–1
M. Lopez
Alfonso Pedraza 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–1
I. Akhomach 🔁
↦ T. Buchanan
46′
T. Oluwaseyi 🔁
↦ G. Mikautadze
46′
A. Perez 🔁
↦ N. Pepe
46′
46′
🔁 E. Achouri
↦ Robert
1–1 S. Comesana ⚽
I. Akhomach
47′
48′
⚽ E. Achouri 1–2
Y. Zague
2–2 T. Oluwaseyi ⚽
A. Pedraza
56′
Ilias Akhomach 🟨
58′
M. Solomon 🔁
↦ A. Moleiro
63′
71′
🔁 A. Cornelius
↦ V. Dadason
71′
🔁 B. Meling
↦ Y. Zague
77′
🟨 Andreas Cornelius
81′
🔁 V. Claesson
↦ W. Clem
81′
🔁 T. Delaney
↦ M. Madsen
83′
🟨 Elias Achouri
S. Cardona 🔁
↦ A. Pedraza
83′
Pape Gueye 🟨
89′
90′
⚽ A. Cornelius 2–3
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Villarreal

4-4-2
1 Luiz Junior G
26 P. Navarro D
4 R. Marin D
12 R. Veiga D
24 A. Pedraza D
17 T. Buchanan M
14 S. Comesana M
18 P. Gueye M
20 A. Moleiro M
19 N. Pepe F
9 G. Mikautadze F
Bench (7)
25 A. Tenas
3 A. Altimira
6 M. Solomon
11 I. Akhomach
21 T. Oluwaseyi
22 A. Perez
23 S. Cardona

Coach: Marcelino

FC Copenhagen

4-4-2
1 D. Kotarski G
22 Y. Zague D
5 Gabriel Pereira D
20 J. Suzuki D
15 M. Lopez D
11 J. Larsson M
36 W. Clem M
21 M. Madsen M
16 Robert M
39 V. Dadason F
10 M. Elyounoussi F
Bench (10)
31 R. A. Runarsson
61 O. Buur
4 M. Garananga
6 P. Hatzidiakos
7 V. Claesson
9 Y. Moukoko
14 A. Cornelius
24 B. Meling
27 T. Delaney
30 E. Achouri

Coach: Bo Svensson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Kruzliak · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.