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Champions League
Referee: B Bastien
Slovan Bratislava
T T S U T
1–0
Full-time
Kairat Almaty
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Slovan Bratislava Kairat Almaty
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,5
1,8
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/5 matches
Win Ø 47%
33%
60%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
67%
20%
Both score Ø 27%
33%
20%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,4
Conceded
1,0
0,6
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
16 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
29 Free kicks against 23
7 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Aug -25 Kairat Almaty – Slovan Bratislava 1–0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Bastien · 180 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.