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League Cup
Referee: Robert Madley
Bristol City
T U T T S
2–0
Full-time
Milton Keynes Dons
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bristol City Milton Keynes Dons
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,8
3,7
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
2,7
3,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-2,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,17 xG 0,64
65% Possession 35%
14 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 0
5 Blocked shots 2
5 Corners 3
6 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Feb -16 Milton Keynes Dons – Bristol City 0–2 3. Oct -15 Bristol City – Milton Keynes Dons 1–1

Match report

Bristol City Milton Keynes Dons
1–0 J. Knight ⚽
S. Twine
6′
31′
🟨 Nathan Thompson
Half-time 1–0
Y. Hirakawa 🔁
↦ E. Morrison
46′
E. Riis 🔁
↦ E. Yeboah
46′
46′
🔁 A. Gilbey
↦ L. Kelly
54′
🟨 Scott Hogan
2–0 Y. Hirakawa ⚽
S. Twine
61′
J. Stokes 🔁
↦ A. Mehmeti
62′
S. Armstrong 🔁
↦ S. Twine
62′
62′
🔁 C. Paterson
↦ S. Hogan
63′
🔁 L. Offord
↦ N. Thompson
63′
🔁 J. Tomlinson
↦ R. Hepburn-Murphy
71′
🔁 J. Sanders
↦ W. Collar
M. Bird 🔁
↦ A. Randell
75′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Bristol City

3-4-2-1
13 J. Lumley G
19 G. Tanner D
16 R. Dickie D
14 Z. Vyner D
17 M. Sykes M
12 J. Knight M
4 A. Randell M
31 E. Morrison M
10 S. Twine F
11 A. Mehmeti F
25 E. Yeboah F
Bench (9)
32 L. Thomas
2 R. McCrorie
24 H. Roberts
6 M. Bird
26 J. Stokes
30 S. Armstrong
20 S. Bell
7 Y. Hirakawa
18 E. Riis

Coach: Gerhard Struber

Milton Keynes Dons

3-5-2
27 C. Trueman G
4 N. Thompson D
21 M. Ekpiteta D
35 C. Waller D
16 A. Nemane M
18 W. Collar M
6 L. Kelly M
24 C. Lemonheigh-Evans M
29 R. Hepburn-Murphy M
17 J. Leko F
9 S. Hogan F
Bench (9)
1 C. MacGillivray
2 G. Jones
15 L. Offord
32 J. Sanders
14 J. Tomlinson
7 D. Crowley
8 A. Gilbey
13 C. Paterson
11 N. Mendez-Laing

Coach: Paul Warne

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Robert Madley · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.