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Champions League
Referee: J Vergoote
Lech Poznan
S S U S T
7–1
Full-time
Breidablik
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Breidablik
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,0
3,2
Scored
2,5
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Lech Poznan Breidablik
1–0 A. Milic ⚽
J. Pereira
4′
28′
⚽ H. Gunnlaugsson 1–1
32′
🟥 Viktor Orn Margeirsson
36′
🟨 Arnór Gauti Jónsson
2–1 M. Ishak ⚽
37′
3–1 J. Pereira ⚽
M. Gurgul
42′
G. Thordarson 🔁
↦ A. Sousa
43′
4–1 M. Ishak ⚽
45′
5–1 L. Bengtsson ⚽
A. Kozubal
45′
Half-time 5–1
A. Douglas 🔁
↦ A. Milic
46′
T. Ouma 🔁
↦ A. Kozubal
46′
46′
🔁 D. Muminovic
↦ A. Jonsson
63′
🔁 A. Bjarnason
↦ K. Jonsson
A. Gholizadeh 🔁
↦ F. Szymczak
72′
72′
🔁 O. Omarsson
↦ V. Einarsson
72′
🔁 K. Kristinsson
↦ T. Thomsen
6–1 F. Jagiello ⚽
77′
78′
🔁 K. Steindorsson
↦ A. Thorsteinsson
B. Fiabema 🔁
↦ F. Jagiello
80′
84′
🟨 Aron Bjarnason
7–1 M. Ishak ⚽
85′
Full-time 7–1

Line-ups

Lech Poznan

4-2-3-1
41 B. Mrozek G
2 J. Pereira D
72 M. Skrzypczak D
16 A. Milic D
15 M. Gurgul D
24 F. Jagiello M
7 A. Sousa M
43 A. Kozubal M
14 L. Bengtsson M
17 F. Szymczak F
9 M. Ishak F
Bench (12)
31 K. Bakowski
3 A. Douglas
4 J. Moutinho
5 E. Andersson
6 T. Ouma
8 A. Gholizadeh
18 B. Salamon
19 B. Fiabema
20 R. Gumny
23 G. Thordarson
27 W. Monka
56 K. Lisman

Coach: Niels Frederiksen

Breidablik

4-3-1-2
1 A. Einarsson G
17 V. Valgeirsson D
4 A. Orrason D
21 V. Margeirsson D
19 K. Jonsson D
7 H. Gunnlaugsson M
6 A. Jonsson M
13 A. Ludviksson M
8 V. Einarsson M
15 A. Thorsteinsson M
77 T. Thomsen F
Bench (11)
12 B. Bragason
33 G. Snaeholm
9 O. Omarsson
10 K. Steindorsson
11 A. Bjarnason
18 D. Ingvarsson
23 K. Kristinsson
24 V. Gautason
29 G. Hallsson
30 A. Yeoman
44 D. Muminovic

Coach: Olafur Skulason

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Vergoote · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.