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League Cup
Referee: John Busby
Plymouth
S T S S T
3–2
Full-time
QPR
S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Plymouth QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

3,52 xG 1,50
69% Possession 31%
28 Shots 6
10 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
15 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

18. Jan -25 Plymouth – QPR 0–1 24. Aug -24 QPR – Plymouth 1–1 9. Apr -24 Plymouth – QPR 1–1 13. Dec -23 QPR – Plymouth 0–0

Match report

Plymouth QPR
21′
⚽ D. Bennie 0–1
38′
🟨 Emmerson Sutton
45′
⚽ R. Kolli 0–2
H. Vale
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 L. Talla
↦ E. Sutton
46′
🔁 C. Dillon
↦ R. Burrell
1–2 B. Wiredu ⚽
V. Palsson
48′
2–2 O. Oseni ⚽
A. Benarous
54′
B. Mumba 🔁
↦ J. Hatch
57′
C. Watts 🔁
↦ B. Ibrahim
57′
X. Amaechi 🔁
↦ T. Finn
65′
M. Sorinola 🔁
↦ K. Szucs
65′
3–2 O. Oseni ⚽
C. Watts
78′
A. Pepple 🔁
↦ O. Oseni
80′
86′
🔁 K. Brunson
↦ J. Putman
86′
🔁 A. Trujillo
↦ J. Pearman
90′
🔁 T. Tarbotton
↦ E. Dixon-Bonner
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Plymouth

4-2-3-1
21 L. Ashby-Hammond G
6 K. Szucs D
4 B. Wiredu D
44 V. Palsson D
14 A. Benarous D
23 B. Ibrahim M
19 M. Boateng M
39 T. Finn
7 J. Paterson M
38 J. Hatch
18 O. Oseni
Bench (9)
13 Z. Baker
42 J. Flower
10 X. Amaechi
11 B. Mumba
17 C. Watts
27 A. Pepple
29 M. Sorinola
40 J. Mwaro
41 S. Campbell

Coach: Thomas William Cleverley

QPR

4-5-1
1 P. Nardi G
43 J. Putman D
30 T. Smith D
44 A. Wilkie D
20 H. Vale D
36 E. Sutton M
23 D. Bennie M
34 E. Dixon-Bonner M
25 J. Pearman M
26 R. Kolli M
16 R. Burrell F
Bench (9)
32 M. Salamon
51 L. Jake
41 N. McCann
42 A. Tuck
39 T. Tarbotton
50 K. Brunson
55 A. Trujillo
52 L. Talla
45 C. Dillon

Coach: Julien Stéphan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

John Busby · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.