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League Cup
Referee: Neil Hair
Gillingham
S S T T T
1–1
Full-time
AFC Wimbledon
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gillingham AFC Wimbledon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,13 xG 0,87
51% Possession 49%
11 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Gillingham AFC Wimbledon
32′
A. Hackford 0–1
D. Orsi-Dadomo
42′
🟨 Aron Sasu
Half-time 0–1
R. McKenzie 🔁
↦ S. Ogie
53′
61′
🔁 A. Smith
↦ D. McCoy-Splatt
62′
🔁 S. Seddon
↦ A. Sasu
62′
🔁 J. Kelly
↦ A. Hackford
J. Andrews 🔁
↦ N. Khumbeni
66′
E. Nevitt 🔁
↦ M. Wyllie
74′
S. Sargent 🔁
↦ J. Gbode
74′
78′
🔁 M. Hippolyte
↦ O. Bugiel
80′
🟨 Ryan Johnson
1–1 E. Coleman
M. Clark
83′
84′
🔁 M. Stevens
↦ D. Orsi-Dadomo
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Gillingham

3-4-1-2
25 J. Turner G
30 S. Gale D
5 A. Smith D
22 S. Ogie D
2 R. Hutton M
6 E. Coleman M
27 N. Khumbeni M
3 M. Clark M
10 J. Williams F
18 M. Wyllie F
17 J. Gbode F
Bench (9)
1 G. Morris
8 A. Little
9 J. Andrews
14 R. McKenzie
20 E. Nevitt
23 B. Dack
32 L. Cirino
33 C. Beszant
34 S. Sargent

Coach: Gareth Ainsworth

AFC Wimbledon

3-4-3
20 J. McDonnell G
33 I. Ogundere D
26 R. Harbottle D
6 R. Johnson D
2 N. Asiimwe M
8 C. Maycock M
18 D. McCoy-Splatt M
29 A. Sasu M
16 A. Hackford F
7 D. Orsi-Dadomo F
9 O. Bugiel F
Bench (9)
1 N. Bishop
3 S. Seddon
10 J. Kelly
12 A. Smith
14 M. Stevens
21 M. Hippolyte
22 R. Horan
24 H. Sidwell
30 R. Nkeng

Coach: Johnnie Jackson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.