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Champions League
Referee: A Ladeback
Breidablik
T T T S T
0–1
Full-time
Lech Poznan
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Breidablik Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,7
4,3
Scored
1,7
2,7
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
4,7
8,0
Scored
2,0
7,0
Conceded
2,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+6,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Breidablik Lech Poznan
Damir Muminović 🟨
11′
V. Valgeirsson 🔁
↦ A. Bjarnason
23′
29′
⚽ M. Ishak 0–1
F. Szymczak
39′
🟨 Robert Gumny
Half-time 0–1
A. Thorsteinsson 🔁
↦ K. Kristinsson
46′
46′
🔁 L. Palma
↦ M. Ishak
62′
🔁 J. Pereira
↦ F. Szymczak
62′
🔁 M. Gurgul
↦ J. Moutinho
62′
🔁 K. Lisman
↦ A. Kozubal
K. Jonsson 🔁
↦ K. Steindorsson
72′
T. Thomsen 🔁
↦ V. Einarsson
72′
75′
🔁 M. Skrzypczak
↦ G. Thordarson
V. Gautason 🔁
↦ O. Omarsson
86′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Breidablik

4-3-3
1 A. Einarsson G
6 A. Jonsson M
44 D. Muminovic D
4 A. Orrason D
29 G. Hallsson D
8 V. Einarsson M
7 H. Gunnlaugsson M
10 K. Steindorsson M
11 A. Bjarnason M
23 K. Kristinsson F
9 O. Omarsson M
Bench (12)
12 B. Bragason
33 G. Snaeholm
15 A. Thorsteinsson
17 V. Valgeirsson
18 D. Ingvarsson
19 K. Jonsson
24 V. Gautason
28 B. Thorsteinsson
31 G. Gunnleifsson
32 K. Bjorgvinsson
39 B. Agustsson
77 T. Thomsen

Coach: Olafur Skulason

Lech Poznan

4-2-3-1
41 B. Mrozek G
20 R. Gumny D
3 A. Douglas D
27 W. Monka D
4 J. Moutinho D
23 G. Thordarson M
6 T. Ouma M
17 F. Szymczak F
43 A. Kozubal M
19 B. Fiabema F
9 M. Ishak F
Bench (10)
31 K. Bakowski
33 M. Pruchniewski
2 J. Pereira
8 A. Gholizadeh
15 M. Gurgul
16 A. Milic
24 F. Jagiello
56 K. Lisman
72 M. Skrzypczak
77 L. Palma

Coach: Niels Frederiksen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

A Ladeback · 90 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.