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Champions League
Referee: R Saggi
Sparta Praha
S T T S S
1–1
Full-time
FCSB
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Praha FCSB
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
5,2
2,8
Scored
2,3
2,2
Conceded
2,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 2/4 matches
Win Ø 88%
100%
75%
Points per game
3,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,0
3,8
Scored
3,0
3,3
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+2,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Sparta Praha FCSB
41′
🟨 Valentin Crețu
43′
🟨 Daniel Popa
43′
🟨 Ștefan Târnovanu
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 W. Baeten
↦ Daniel Popa
55′
🟨 Joyskim Dawa
61′
⚽ J. Dawa 0–1
D. Olaru
L. Sadílek 🔁
↦ Q. Laçi
62′
62′
🔁 M. Ștefănescu
↦ W. Baeten
Martin Vitík 🟨
65′
E. Krasniqi 🔁
↦ L. Haraslín
72′
V. Olatunji 🔁
↦ J. Kuchta
72′
77′
🔁 B. Alhassan
↦ D. Olaru
77′
🔁 Luis Phelipe
↦ D. Miculescu
1–1 V. Olatunji ⚽
V. Birmančević
78′
Ermal Krasniqi 🟨
84′
T. Wiesner 🔁
↦ Á. Preciado
84′
88′
🔁 M. Edjouma
↦ A. Băluță
94′
🟨 Luis Phelipe
98′
🟨 Malcom Edjouma
99′
🟨 Risto Radunović
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sparta Praha

3-4-3
1 P. Vindahl G
41 M. Vitík D
5 M. Ross D
25 A. Sørensen D
17 Á. Preciado M
6 K. Kairinen M
20 Q. Laçi M
32 M. Ryneš M
14 V. Birmančević F
9 J. Kuchta F
22 L. Haraslín F
Bench (12)
18 L. Sadílek
29 E. Krasniqi
7 V. Olatunji
28 T. Wiesner
11 I. Tuci
3 Imanol García de Albéniz
8 D. Pavelka
24 V. Vorel
21 J. Pešek
44 J. Surovčík
13 K. Daněk
4 M. Solbakken

Coach: L. Friis

FCSB

4-2-3-1
32 Ș. Târnovanu G
2 V. Crețu D
30 S. Ngezana D
5 J. Dawa D
33 R. Radunović D
8 A. Șut M
16 M. Lixandru M
25 A. Băluță F
27 D. Olaru M
11 D. Miculescu F
19 Daniel Popa F
Bench (10)
24 W. Baeten
15 M. Ștefănescu
42 B. Alhassan
70 Luis Phelipe
18 M. Edjouma
6 D. Haruţ
12 D. Kiki
21 V. Chiricheș
99 A. Vlad
20 N. Antwi

Coach: I. Charalampous

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Saggi · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.