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Pro League
Referee: Kevin van Damme
Waregem
S S S S S
2–1
Full-time
Genk
S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,5
1,5
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,51 xG 0,54
38% Possession 62%
11 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Jan -26 Waregem – Genk 2–1 31. Aug -25 Genk – Waregem 3–2 14. Jan -23 Genk – Waregem 1–0 14. Aug -22 Waregem – Genk 1–4 6. Feb -22 Genk – Waregem 2–0

Match report

Waregem Genk
39′
⚽ R. Durosinmi 0–1
J. Ito
42′
🟨 Daan Heymans
Half-time 0–1
Anosike Ementa 🟨
52′
61′
🔁 A. Bibout
↦ R. Durosinmi
N. Mituljikic 🔁
↦ I. Atrok
64′
72′
🔁 A. Yokoyama
↦ D. Heymans
72′
🔁 Y. Medina
↦ J. Kayembe
72′
🔁 C. Akpan
↦ Z. El Ouahdi
S. Ujka 🔁
↦ T. Hedl
76′
81′
🟨 Josue Ndenge Kongolo
1–1 M. Ake ⚽
82′
86′
🟨 Christian Akpan
2–1 S. Ujka ⚽
A. Ementa
86′
87′
🔁 R. Mirisola
↦ J. Erenbjerg
91′
🟨 Yaimar Medina
F. Tangala 🔁
↦ W. Paugain
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Waregem

4-3-2-1
1 L. Bostyn G
12 W. Paugain D
4 L. Lemoine D
5 J. Kiilerich D
55 Y. Cappelle D
8 T. Claes M
6 E. Lofolomo M
11 M. Ake M
20 T. Hedl M
21 I. Atrok M
18 A. Ementa F
Bench (9)
42 A. Dobbels
3 A. Tanghe
7 N. Mituljikic
25 T. Panduro
49 F. Tangala
36 S. Ujka
2 K. Seven
90 H. Akpa-Chukwu
53 K. Vemba

Coach: Michael Beale

Genk

4-2-3-1
28 L. Brughmans G
77 Z. El Ouahdi D
24 N. Sattlberger D
44 J. Kongolo D
18 J. Kayembe D
21 I. Bangoura M
8 B. Heynen M
11 J. Erenbjerg M
38 D. Heymans M
10 J. Ito M
17 R. Durosinmi F
Bench (9)
26 T. Lawal
29 R. Mirisola
23 A. Bibout
86 K. Haroun
56 A. De Wannemacker
30 A. Yokoyama
19 Y. Medina
6 M. Smets
65 C. Akpan

Coach: Jess Thorup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,03
🔒
U
3,52
🔒
B
2,12
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,70
🔒
U2,5
2,06
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Kevin van Damme · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.