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Primeira Liga

Referee: Hélder Carvalho

Estoril

T T T T T

1–0

Full-time

Gil Vicente

S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Estoril Gil Vicente

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

2,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+0,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 25/24 matches

Win Ø 29%

24%

33%

Points per game

0,9

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

32%

50%

Both score Ø 47%

36%

58%

Average goals

2,4

Scored

0,8

1,1

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%

7 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 5

2 Offside 8

22 Free kicks against 17

5 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Estoril 15. · Gil Vicente 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	25	22	2	1	+52	68
2	Porto	25	18	4	3	+38	58
3	Sp Braga	25	18	2	5	+32	56
4	Sp Lisbon	24	16	2	6	+26	50
5	Guimaraes	25	12	4	9	-4	40
6	Casa Pia	25	11	5	9	-2	38
7	Arouca	25	10	8	7	-3	38
8	Rio Ave	25	9	6	10	-3	33
9	Famalicao	25	10	3	12	-7	33
10	Vizela	25	9	5	11	+0	32
11	Chaves	25	8	8	9	-5	32
12	Boavista	25	8	6	11	-12	30
13	Gil Vicente	24	8	5	11	-5	29
14	Portimonense	25	8	2	15	-14	26
15	Estoril	25	6	4	15	-18	22
16	Pacos Ferreira	25	4	4	17	-24	16
17	Maritimo	25	4	4	17	-30	16
18	Santa Clara	25	3	6	16	-21	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	13	12	1	0	+32	37
2	Porto	12	10	0	2	+26	30
3	Sp Lisbon	12	10	0	2	+25	30
4	Sp Braga	12	8	2	2	+17	26
5	Guimaraes	13	8	2	3	+4	26
6	Arouca	13	7	2	4	+3	23
7	Rio Ave	12	7	1	4	+5	22
8	Famalicao	12	7	1	4	+4	22
9	Casa Pia	13	6	3	4	+3	21
10	Boavista	13	5	5	3	-1	20
11	Portimonense	13	5	2	6	-2	17
12	Gil Vicente	12	4	4	4	+0	16
13	Chaves	12	3	5	4	-1	14
14	Vizela	12	4	2	6	-1	14
15	Maritimo	12	3	2	7	-6	11
16	Estoril	12	3	2	7	-11	11
17	Santa Clara	13	2	4	7	-12	10
18	Pacos Ferreira	13	2	2	9	-14	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	12	10	1	1	+20	31
2	Sp Braga	13	10	0	3	+15	30
3	Porto	13	8	4	1	+12	28
4	Sp Lisbon	12	6	2	4	+1	20
5	Vizela	13	5	3	5	+1	18
6	Chaves	13	5	3	5	-4	18
7	Casa Pia	12	5	2	5	-5	17
8	Arouca	12	3	6	3	-6	15
9	Guimaraes	12	4	2	6	-8	14
10	Gil Vicente	12	4	1	7	-5	13
11	Estoril	13	3	2	8	-7	11
12	Rio Ave	13	2	5	6	-8	11
13	Famalicao	13	3	2	8	-11	11
14	Boavista	12	3	1	8	-11	10
15	Portimonense	12	3	0	9	-12	9
16	Pacos Ferreira	12	2	2	8	-10	8
17	Santa Clara	12	1	2	9	-9	5
18	Maritimo	13	1	2	10	-24	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.