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Primeira Liga
Referee: João Pedro Pinheiro
Portimonense
T U S T S
0–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Portimonense Pacos Ferreira
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,5
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
This season — Primeira Liga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,7
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
18 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Portimonense 7. · Pacos Ferreira 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 4 4 0 0 +6 12
2 Porto 4 3 1 0 +6 10
3 Sp Lisbon 4 3 1 0 +6 10
4 Estoril 4 3 1 0 +5 10
5 Boavista 4 2 1 1 +2 7
6 Sp Braga 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Portimonense 3 2 0 1 +3 6
8 Gil Vicente 3 2 0 1 +2 6
9 Guimaraes 4 1 2 1 +3 5
10 Maritimo 4 1 1 2 -2 4
11 Vizela 4 1 1 2 -6 4
12 Tondela 4 1 0 3 -2 3
13 Pacos Ferreira 3 1 0 2 -3 3
14 Arouca 4 1 0 3 -6 3
15 Moreirense 4 0 2 2 -2 2
16 Famalicao 4 0 1 3 -4 1
17 Belenenses 4 0 1 3 -5 1
18 Santa Clara 3 0 1 2 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Portimonense Pacos Ferreira
41′
🟨 Nuno Santos
Half-time 0–1
46′
Douglas Tanque 0–1
Nuno Santos
Luquinhas 🔁
↦ Lucas Possignolo
46′
Fali Candé 🟨
47′
48′
🟨 Douglas Tanque
Pedrão 🟨
63′
64′
🔁 Rui Pires
↦ Nuno Santos
65′
🔁 Denílson
↦ Douglas Tanque
G. Imbula 🔁
↦ Lucas Fernandes
66′
I. Angulo 🔁
↦ Aylton Boa Morte
67′
72′
🔁 Zé Uilton
↦ Lucas Silva
75′
🟨 André Ferreira
81′
🟨 Flávio Ramos
W. Aponza 🔁
↦ Fali Candé
82′
85′
🔁 João Pedro
↦ Luíz Carlos
85′
🔁 J. Delgado
↦ Hélder Ferreira
89′
🟨 Denílson
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Portimonense

4-1-4-1
94 Samuel G
3 Lucas Possignolo D
18 F. Moufi D
44 Pedrão D
4 Willyan M
5 Fali Candé D
76 Carlinhos M
8 Lucas Fernandes M
77 Aylton Boa Morte M
11 Anderson Oliveira M
91 Renato Júnior F
Bench (9)
20 Luquinhas
25 G. Imbula
70 I. Angulo
39 W. Aponza
32 K. Nakamura
21 Pedro Sá
33 Casagrande
22 Filipe Relvas
6 Henrique Jocú

Coach: Paulo Sérgio

Pacos Ferreira

4-4-2
13 André Ferreira G
5 Antunes D
32 Flávio Ramos D
29 Fernando Fonseca D
6 Maracás D
22 Luíz Carlos M
46 S. Eustáquio M
77 Nuno Santos F
99 Douglas Tanque F
7 Hélder Ferreira M
23 Lucas Silva M
Bench (9)
26 Rui Pires
10 Denílson
9 Zé Uilton
45 João Pedro
15 J. Delgado
21 Jorge Silva
3 Nuno Lima
12 Jeimes
16 Matchoi Djaló

Coach: Jorge Simão

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,13
U
3,20
B ✓
3,60
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,38
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

João Pedro Pinheiro · 221 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.