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Primeira Liga
Referee: Hélder Malheiro
Guimaraes
S S T S T
4–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guimaraes Pacos Ferreira
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — Primeira Liga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 35%
38%
31%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
59%
34%
Both score Ø 52%
59%
45%
Average goals
2,6
2,1
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

37% Possession 63%
18 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 4
5 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Guimaraes 6. · Pacos Ferreira 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 29 25 4 0 +53 79
2 Sp Lisbon 29 23 4 2 +41 73
3 Benfica 29 20 4 5 +44 64
4 Sp Braga 29 16 7 6 +19 55
5 Gil Vicente 30 12 11 7 +10 47
6 Guimaraes 29 11 6 12 +0 39
7 Pacos Ferreira 29 9 9 11 -7 36
8 Santa Clara 30 8 11 11 -14 35
9 Estoril 29 8 10 11 -4 34
10 Boavista 29 6 15 8 -7 33
11 Maritimo 29 8 9 12 -7 33
12 Portimonense 29 8 8 13 -7 32
13 Famalicao 30 6 11 13 -10 29
14 Vizela 29 6 11 12 -16 29
15 Arouca 30 6 9 15 -23 27
16 Tondela 29 7 4 18 -21 25
17 Moreirense 29 5 8 16 -20 23
18 Belenenses 29 4 9 16 -31 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,77
U
3,61
B
4,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,00
U2,5
1,81
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Hélder Malheiro · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.