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Championship
Referee: A Woolmer
Swansea
S U S S S
1–1
Full-time
Barnsley
U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea Barnsley
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,5
This season — Championship · 42/41 matches
Win Ø 29%
43%
15%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
55%
34%
Both score Ø 45%
43%
46%
Average goals
2,6
2,2
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

74% Possession 26%
17 Shots 19
7 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 8
3 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Swansea 11. · Barnsley 24.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fulham 42 27 8 7 +61 89
2 Bournemouth 41 21 12 8 +27 75
3 Luton 42 20 11 11 +18 71
4 Sheffield United 41 20 9 12 +18 69
5 Huddersfield 40 19 12 9 +14 69
6 Middlesbrough 42 20 8 14 +16 68
7 Blackburn 43 18 12 13 +13 66
8 Nott'm Forest 38 19 8 11 +24 65
9 Coventry 43 18 11 14 +9 65
10 West Brom 43 17 12 14 +9 63
11 Swansea 42 18 9 15 -1 63
12 Preston 43 16 15 12 -1 63
13 Millwall 42 16 13 13 +4 61
14 Stoke 43 16 11 16 +8 59
15 QPR 43 17 8 18 -1 59
16 Blackpool 41 15 11 15 -1 56
17 Cardiff 42 15 8 19 -10 53
18 Derby 43 13 13 17 -7 52
19 Bristol City 43 13 10 20 -20 49
20 Hull 43 13 8 22 -9 47
21 Reading 43 13 8 22 -27 47
22 Birmingham 43 11 13 19 -20 46
23 Peterboro 42 7 10 25 -47 31
24 Barnsley 41 6 12 23 -29 30
25 Peterborough 41 6 10 25 -48 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Swansea Barnsley
16′
🟨 Matthew Wolfe
29′
🟨 Romal Palmer
Half-time 0–1
54′
C. Gomes 0–1
A. Bassi
O. Ntcham 🔁
↦ J. Fulton
57′
1–1 O. Ntcham
C. Christie
64′
R. Manning 🔁
↦ J. Latibeaudiere
65′
68′
🔁 C. Styles
↦ R. Palmer
74′
🔁 C. Woodrow
↦ M. Wolfe
78′
🟨 Carlton Morris
C. Congreve 🔁
↦ J. Paterson
91′
Matt Grimes 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Swansea

3-4-2-1
33 A. Fisher G
26 K. Naughton D
23 C. Christie M
5 B. Cabango D
22 J. Latibeaudiere D
6 J. Fulton M
8 M. Grimes M
13 H. Wolf F
12 J. Paterson M
9 M. Obafemi F
17 J. Piroe F
Bench (7)
10 O. Ntcham
3 R. Manning
45 C. Congreve
15 N. Ogbeta
18 B. Hamer
14 K. Joseph
7 K. Smith

Coach: R. Martin

Barnsley

4-3-1-2
1 J. Walton G
6 M. Andersen D
7 C. Brittain D
5 L. Kitching D
26 R. Vita D
27 A. Bassi M
28 Domingos Quina F
17 C. Gomes M
33 M. Wolfe M
21 R. Palmer M
14 C. Morris F
Bench (7)
4 C. Styles
9 C. Woodrow
13 D. Jinadu
29 V. Adeboyejo
15 J. Moon
11 A. Leya
23 W. Hondermarck

Coach: P. Asbaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,72
U ✓
3,72
B
5,00
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,97
U2,5 ✓
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Woolmer · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.