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Primeira Liga
Referee: Luis Godinho
Sp Braga
S T S S U
2–0
Full-time
Estoril
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Estoril
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
2,3
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 40%
50%
30%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
40%
30%
Both score Ø 40%
35%
45%
Average goals
2,4
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
17 Shots 4
8 Shots on target 0
2 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Braga 4. · Estoril 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 21 17 1 3 +45 52
2 Sp Lisbon 21 16 4 1 +29 52
3 Porto 21 14 4 3 +27 46
4 Sp Braga 20 10 6 4 +19 36
5 Guimaraes 21 8 7 6 -1 31
6 Pacos Ferreira 21 8 6 7 +4 30
7 Rio Ave 21 8 5 8 -2 29
8 Arouca 21 6 10 5 +1 28
9 Vitoria Setubal 21 6 8 7 -6 26
10 Belenenses 21 6 7 8 -19 25
11 Estoril 20 6 5 9 -6 23
12 Moreirense 21 6 5 10 -11 23
13 U. Madeira 21 6 5 10 -11 23
14 Maritimo 21 6 4 11 -12 22
15 Nacional 21 5 6 10 -8 21
16 Boavista 21 5 5 11 -12 20
17 Academica 21 4 6 11 -17 18
18 Tondela 21 2 4 15 -20 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Sep -15 Estoril – Sp Braga 1–0

Match report

Sp Braga Estoril
17′
🟨 Afonso Taira
Josué 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–0
Alan 🔁
↦ Josué
59′
60′
🟨 Dieguinho
62′
🔁 Michael
↦ Marion
Koka 🔁
↦ N. Stojiljković
63′
73′
🔁 Matheuzinho
↦ Dieguinho
Pedro Santos 🔁
↦ Rafa Silva
77′
1–0 Rui Fonte
80′
2–0 Koka
83′
84′
🔁 L. Chaparro
↦ Mattheus
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sp Braga

92 Matheus G
6 André Pinto D
15 Baiano D
24 Ricardo Ferreira D
87 Marcelo Goiano D
8 Luiz Carlos M
27 Josué M
63 Mauro M
18 Rafa Silva F
17 Rui Fonte F
19 N. Stojiljković F
Bench (7)
30 Alan
20 Koka
23 Pedro Santos
35 N.S. Vukčević
7 Wilson Eduardo
28 Marafona
32 Arghus

Estoril

1 P. Kieszek G
5 Anderson Luis D
2 Yohan Tavares D
34 Diego Carlos D
25 Diogo Amado M
6 Afonso Taira M
27 Mattheus M
10 Gerso Fernandes F
30 Dieguinho
9 Léo Bonatini F
22 Marion
Bench (7)
14 Michael
93 Matheuzinho
91 L. Chaparro
23 Lucas Farias
12 Georgemy
15 O. Diakhite
13 A. Esiti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Luis Godinho · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.