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Primeira Liga

Referee: Vasco Santos

Sp Braga

S U S T T

1–1

Full-time

Estoril

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Estoril

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,7

Scored

1,0

0,3

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 40%

58%

21%

Points per game

1,9

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 37%

47%

26%

Both score Ø 40%

47%

32%

Average goals

2,4

1,9

Scored

1,6

0,7

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%

11 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

11 Corners 6

4 Offside 1

20 Free kicks against 21

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Braga 4. · Estoril 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	20	15	3	2	+32	48
2	Porto	20	14	5	1	+28	47
3	Sp Lisbon	20	11	5	4	+14	38
4	Sp Braga	19	11	3	5	+14	36
5	Guimaraes	20	10	5	5	+7	35
6	Maritimo	20	9	4	7	+2	31
7	Chaves	20	6	10	4	+2	28
8	Vitoria Setubal	20	8	4	8	+1	28
9	Rio Ave	19	8	3	8	-2	27
10	Arouca	20	8	3	9	-4	27
11	Boavista	20	6	7	7	-1	25
12	Belenenses	20	6	6	8	-5	24
13	Pacos Ferreira	20	5	5	10	-11	20
14	Feirense	19	5	4	10	-18	19
15	Moreirense	20	5	3	12	-13	18
16	Estoril	19	4	3	12	-11	15
17	Tondela	20	3	5	12	-18	14
18	Nacional	20	3	4	13	-17	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	11	10	1	0	+18	31
2	Benfica	10	8	2	0	+22	26
3	Sp Lisbon	10	8	1	1	+15	25
4	Sp Braga	10	8	1	1	+15	25
5	Maritimo	10	6	2	2	+6	20
6	Vitoria Setubal	10	6	1	3	+6	19
7	Chaves	11	4	6	1	+4	18
8	Pacos Ferreira	10	4	4	2	+2	16
9	Rio Ave	10	5	1	4	+0	16
10	Arouca	11	5	1	5	+0	16
11	Guimaraes	9	3	4	2	+2	13
12	Belenenses	10	3	4	3	-1	13
13	Boavista	9	3	2	4	+1	11
14	Tondela	9	3	2	4	-1	11
15	Feirense	10	3	2	5	-9	11
16	Moreirense	9	2	3	4	-3	9
17	Nacional	10	2	3	5	-7	9
18	Estoril	9	2	1	6	-5	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	10	7	1	2	+10	22
2	Guimaraes	11	7	1	3	+5	22
3	Porto	9	4	4	1	+10	16
4	Boavista	11	3	5	3	-2	14
5	Sp Lisbon	10	3	4	3	-1	13
6	Sp Braga	9	3	2	4	-1	11
7	Rio Ave	9	3	2	4	-2	11
8	Arouca	9	3	2	4	-4	11
9	Belenenses	10	3	2	5	-4	11
10	Maritimo	10	3	2	5	-4	11
11	Chaves	9	2	4	3	-2	10
12	Vitoria Setubal	10	2	3	5	-5	9
13	Moreirense	11	3	0	8	-10	9
14	Estoril	10	2	2	6	-6	8
15	Feirense	9	2	2	5	-9	8
16	Nacional	10	1	1	8	-10	4
17	Pacos Ferreira	10	1	1	8	-13	4
18	Tondela	11	0	3	8	-17	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.