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Primeira Liga

Referee: Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo

Rio Ave

T T T U T

1–2

Full-time

Moreirense

S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rio Ave Moreirense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

4,2

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

2,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 43%

36%

50%

Points per game

1,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

71%

50%

Both score Ø 65%

86%

43%

Average goals

3,3

2,4

Scored

1,6

1,1

Conceded

1,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%

12 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 10

4 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rio Ave 10. · Moreirense 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	14	12	0	2	+21	36
2	Sp Braga	15	10	3	2	+14	33
3	Benfica	14	10	2	2	+18	32
4	Sp Lisbon	14	10	1	3	+15	31
5	Guimaraes	15	7	4	4	+5	25
6	Belenenses	14	5	7	2	+4	22
7	Moreirense	14	7	1	6	-4	22
8	Santa Clara	15	6	2	7	+1	20
9	Portimonense	14	6	2	6	-5	20
10	Rio Ave	14	5	4	5	+0	19
11	Nacional	15	5	4	6	-8	19
12	Vitoria Setubal	15	5	2	8	-3	17
13	Boavista	15	4	4	7	-5	16
14	Tondela	15	4	3	8	-4	15
15	Aves	14	3	2	9	-11	11
16	Maritimo	15	3	2	10	-12	11
17	Feirense	14	2	4	8	-13	10
18	Chaves	14	2	1	11	-13	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	8	7	1	0	+14	22
2	Porto	8	7	0	1	+15	21
3	Sp Lisbon	7	7	0	0	+14	21
4	Benfica	7	5	1	1	+10	16
5	Portimonense	7	4	2	1	+4	14
6	Guimaraes	7	4	2	1	+4	14
7	Rio Ave	7	4	2	1	+3	14
8	Moreirense	7	4	1	2	+2	13
9	Belenenses	7	3	2	2	+2	11
10	Boavista	7	3	1	3	+0	10
11	Nacional	8	3	1	4	-5	10
12	Vitoria Setubal	7	3	0	4	+0	9
13	Aves	7	2	2	3	+1	8
14	Tondela	8	2	2	4	-2	8
15	Feirense	7	1	4	2	-1	7
16	Santa Clara	8	2	1	5	-3	7
17	Maritimo	7	2	1	4	-4	7
18	Chaves	6	1	1	4	-2	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	7	5	1	1	+8	16
2	Porto	6	5	0	1	+6	15
3	Santa Clara	7	4	1	2	+4	13
4	Belenenses	7	2	5	0	+2	11
5	Guimaraes	8	3	2	3	+1	11
6	Sp Braga	7	3	2	2	+0	11
7	Sp Lisbon	7	3	1	3	+1	10
8	Nacional	7	2	3	2	-3	9
9	Moreirense	7	3	0	4	-6	9
10	Vitoria Setubal	8	2	2	4	-3	8
11	Tondela	7	2	1	4	-2	7
12	Boavista	8	1	3	4	-5	6
13	Portimonense	7	2	0	5	-9	6
14	Rio Ave	7	1	2	4	-3	5
15	Maritimo	8	1	1	6	-8	4
16	Chaves	8	1	0	7	-11	3
17	Aves	7	1	0	6	-12	3
18	Feirense	7	1	0	6	-12	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.