Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Lamia
Aris
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Olympiakos
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | +32 | 38 |
| 2 |
Aris Thessalonikis
|
12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | +13 | 29 |
| 3 |
Aris
|
12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | +13 | 29 |
| 4 |
PAOK
|
14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +12 | 28 |
| 5 |
AEK
|
13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 24 |
| 6 |
Panathinaikos
|
15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | +1 | 19 |
| 7 |
Volos NFC
|
15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | -3 | 19 |
| 8 |
Asteras Tripolis
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | -2 | 18 |
| 9 |
Apollon
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -3 | 15 |
| 10 |
Atromitos
|
14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 11 |
OFI Crete
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -10 | 15 |
| 12 |
Giannina
|
15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -4 | 14 |
| 13 |
Panetolikos
|
15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -10 | 11 |
| 14 |
Larisa
|
14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -18 | 7 |
| 15 |
Lamia
|
11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -21 | 2 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Lamia
Olympiakos
Giannina
Lamia
Lamia
PAOK
Lamia
Asteras Tripolis
Lamia
Panathinaikos
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.