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Serie B
1–0
Full-time
Cittadella
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Virtus Entella Cittadella
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
2,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,2
This season — Serie B · 16/14 matches
Win Ø 35%
13%
57%
Points per game
0,7
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
44%
57%
Both score Ø 47%
44%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,9
Scored
0,8
1,9
Conceded
1,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 2
3 Corners 11
11 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Virtus Entella 20. · Cittadella 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Empoli 17 9 7 1 +15 34
2 Salernitana 16 9 4 3 +6 31
3 Monza 17 8 6 3 +13 30
4 Cittadella 14 8 3 3 +14 27
5 Lecce 17 6 8 3 +9 26
6 Spal 16 7 5 4 +6 26
7 Venezia 17 6 7 4 +5 25
8 Frosinone 15 7 4 4 +2 25
9 Chievo 14 5 6 3 +5 21
10 Pordenone 16 4 9 3 +3 21
11 Brescia 16 5 6 5 +1 21
12 Pisa 16 4 8 4 -6 20
13 Reggina 17 4 5 8 -8 17
14 Vicenza 15 3 7 5 -4 16
15 Cosenza 17 2 9 6 -3 15
16 Cremonese 16 3 6 7 -6 15
17 Reggiana 15 4 3 8 -11 15
18 Ascoli 17 3 4 10 -11 13
19 Pescara 16 3 4 9 -14 13
20 Virtus Entella 16 2 5 9 -16 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,55
U
3,14
B
2,14
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,02
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.