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Primeira Liga

Referee: Tiago Martins

Benfica

T T S S S

2–1

Full-time

Portimonense

T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Portimonense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,7

Scored

1,7

0,5

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

This season — Primeira Liga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 50%

80%

20%

Points per game

2,4

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

70%

30%

Both score Ø 45%

50%

40%

Average goals

3,4

1,8

Scored

2,3

0,6

Conceded

1,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

46% Possession 54%

15 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 2

2 Offside 4

18 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Benfica 2. · Portimonense 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	11	9	2	0	+18	29
2	Benfica	10	8	0	2	+12	24
3	Sp Braga	11	8	0	3	+11	24
4	Porto	10	7	1	2	+12	22
5	Guimaraes	10	6	1	3	+4	19
6	Pacos Ferreira	11	4	4	3	+1	16
7	Maritimo	11	4	1	6	-2	13
8	Nacional	11	3	4	4	-2	13
9	Santa Clara	10	4	1	5	-3	13
10	Gil Vicente	11	3	3	5	-3	12
11	Belenenses	11	2	5	4	-3	11
12	Famalicao	11	2	5	4	-6	11
13	Rio Ave	11	2	5	4	-7	11
14	Moreirense	10	2	4	4	-3	10
15	Farense	11	2	3	6	-4	9
16	Boavista	11	1	6	4	-8	9
17	Tondela	11	2	3	6	-11	9
18	Portimonense	10	2	2	6	-6	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	6	5	0	1	+7	15
2	Sp Lisbon	5	4	1	0	+8	13
3	Benfica	5	4	0	1	+5	12
4	Sp Braga	5	4	0	1	+5	12
5	Pacos Ferreira	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Nacional	6	2	3	1	+1	9
7	Moreirense	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Farense	6	2	2	2	+1	8
9	Tondela	6	2	2	2	-3	8
10	Gil Vicente	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Maritimo	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Belenenses	6	1	3	2	-1	6
13	Famalicao	6	1	3	2	-4	6
14	Guimaraes	5	2	0	3	-4	6
15	Portimonense	5	1	2	2	-2	5
16	Rio Ave	5	1	2	2	-3	5
17	Santa Clara	5	1	1	3	-4	4
18	Boavista	5	1	1	3	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	6	5	1	0	+10	16
2	Guimaraes	5	4	1	0	+8	13
3	Benfica	5	4	0	1	+7	12
4	Sp Braga	6	4	0	2	+6	12
5	Santa Clara	5	3	0	2	+1	9
6	Porto	4	2	1	1	+5	7
7	Pacos Ferreira	6	1	3	2	-1	6
8	Maritimo	6	2	0	4	-2	6
9	Rio Ave	6	1	3	2	-4	6
10	Boavista	6	0	5	1	-2	5
11	Famalicao	5	1	2	2	-2	5
12	Belenenses	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	Gil Vicente	6	1	2	3	-3	5
14	Nacional	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Portimonense	5	1	0	4	-4	3
16	Moreirense	5	0	2	3	-5	2
17	Farense	5	0	1	4	-5	1
18	Tondela	5	0	1	4	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.