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Eredivisie

Referee: Marc Nagtegaal

Heerenveen

S S T U T

1–0

Full-time

Twente

S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Twente

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,5

4,5

Scored

1,0

2,7

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,39 xG 1,78

46% Possession 54%

7 Shots 18

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 8

2 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.7	3
2	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.9	3
3	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
4	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.7	3
5	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.7	3
6	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
7	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.5	3
8	PSV Eindhoven	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
9	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
10	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.7	0
11	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
12	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.5	0
13	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
14	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.7	0
15	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.9	0
16	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.9	3
2	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.7	3
3	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.7	3
4	PSV Eindhoven	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
5	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
6	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.5	0
7	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
8	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.7	3
2	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
3	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
4	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.5	3
5	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
6	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.7	0
7	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.7	0
8	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.