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Bundesliga

Referee: T Welz

Freiburg

S T T S S

1–3

Full-time

Dortmund

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg Dortmund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,7

3,7

Scored

2,5

2,2

Conceded

2,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

4,0

1,0

Scored

4,0

1,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+4,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%

16 Shots 16

7 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

9 Corners 2

3 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Freiburg 2. · Dortmund 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Wolfsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Werder Bremen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Stuttgart	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	RB Leipzig	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Wolfsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Stuttgart	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-4	0
9	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Werder Bremen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	RB Leipzig	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-2	0
8	Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	-2	0
9	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.