Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Lech Poznan
Wisla
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lech Poznan
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 4 |
Zaglebie
|
7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 5 |
Wisla
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 |
Piast Gliwice
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 8 |
Radomiak Radom
|
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 |
Jagiellonia
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 10 |
Rakow
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 |
Stal Mielec
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |
Cracovia
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 |
Wisla Plock
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 14 |
Warta Poznan
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 15 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 |
Legia
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 17 | Leczna | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 5 |
| 18 |
Nieciecza
|
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 3 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Rakow
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
Pogon Szczecin
Lech Poznan
Lechia Gdansk
Nieciecza
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
Cracovia
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.