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Bundesliga

Referee: T Stieler

Hertha

T T T T S

2–1

Full-time

Greuther Furth

S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Greuther Furth

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

4,0

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

2,2

2,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-1,0

This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

0,8

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

4,0

3,3

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

2,8

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-2,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%

14 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hertha 16. · Greuther Furth 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolfsburg	4	4	0	0	+5	12
2	Bayern Munich	4	3	1	0	+9	10
3	Dortmund	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Mainz	4	3	0	1	+4	9
5	Freiburg	4	2	2	0	+2	8
6	Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	+6	7
7	FC Koln	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Union Berlin	4	1	3	0	+1	6
9	Hoffenheim	4	1	1	2	+1	4
10	Stuttgart	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	M'gladbach	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	RB Leipzig	4	1	0	3	-1	3
13	Bochum	4	1	0	3	-2	3
14	Bielefeld	4	0	3	1	-2	3
15	Ein Frankfurt	4	0	3	1	-3	3
16	Hertha	4	1	0	3	-6	3
17	Augsburg	4	0	2	2	-7	2
18	Greuther Furth	4	0	1	3	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Mainz	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	FC Koln	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Wolfsburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Union Berlin	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	M'gladbach	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Freiburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Leverkusen	2	1	0	1	+3	3
10	Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	+3	3
11	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Bochum	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Ein Frankfurt	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Bielefeld	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Hoffenheim	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Greuther Furth	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Augsburg	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolfsburg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Leverkusen	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Bayern Munich	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Freiburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	+3	3
6	Dortmund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Mainz	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Hertha	3	1	0	2	-5	3
9	Augsburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Union Berlin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	FC Koln	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Bielefeld	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Ein Frankfurt	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Stuttgart	2	0	1	1	-4	1
15	Bochum	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	RB Leipzig	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	M'gladbach	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Greuther Furth	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.