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La Liga
Referee: Isidro Díaz de Mera
Celta
T T U T T
1–2
Full-time
Cadiz
U U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Cadiz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

78% Possession 22%
14 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 1
8 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celta 18. · Cadiz 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 4 3 1 0 +7 10
2 Valencia 4 3 1 0 +7 10
3 Ath Madrid 4 3 1 0 +3 10
4 Sociedad 4 3 0 1 +2 9
5 Ath Bilbao 4 2 2 0 +3 8
6 Sevilla 3 2 1 0 +4 7
7 Barcelona 3 2 1 0 +3 7
8 Mallorca 4 2 1 1 +0 7
9 Betis 4 1 2 1 +0 5
10 Elche 4 1 2 1 +0 5
11 Osasuna 4 1 2 1 -2 5
12 Vallecano 4 1 1 2 +0 4
13 Villarreal 3 0 3 0 +0 3
14 Levante 4 0 3 1 -1 3
15 Espanol 4 0 2 2 -2 2
16 Cadiz 4 0 2 2 -3 2
17 Granada 4 0 2 2 -5 2
18 Celta 4 0 1 3 -5 1
19 Getafe 4 0 0 4 -4 0
20 Alaves 3 0 0 3 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celta Cadiz
38′
A. Lozano 0–1
T. Alarcón
43′
A. Espino 0–2
Half-time 0–2
46′
🟨 Rubén Sobrino
Brais Méndez 🔁
↦ José Fontán
46′
Thiago Galhardo 🔁
↦ F. Cervi
46′
Nolito 🔁
↦ Denis Suárez
46′
Thiago Galhardo 🟨
48′
52′
🟨 Varazdat Haroyan
56′
🔁 S. Arzamendia
↦ A. Lozano
61′
🟨 Tomás Alarcón
1–2 Santi Mina
64′
Fran Beltrán 🔁
↦ A. Solari
65′
72′
🔁 J. Jønsson
↦ Fali Jiménez
72′
🔁 M. Osmajić
↦ Sobrino
72′
🔁 Álex
↦ Álvaro Bastida
Renato Tapia 🟨
74′
83′
🔁 Álvaro Negredo
↦ Salvi
Brais Méndez 🟨
89′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Celta

4-1-3-2
1 M. Dituro G
2 Hugo Mallo D
24 J. Murillo D
17 Javier Galán D
19 José Fontán D
6 Denis Suárez M
14 R. Tapia M
21 A. Solari M
11 F. Cervi M
10 Iago Aspas F
22 Santi Mina F
Bench (10)
23 Brais Méndez
7 Thiago Galhardo
9 Nolito
8 Fran Beltrán
13 Rubén Blanco
4 N. Araújo
28 Carlos Domínguez
16 Miguel Baeza
20 Kevin Vázquez
5 O. Yokuşlu

Coach: E. Coudet

Cadiz

4-1-4-1
1 J. Ledesma G
5 V. Haroyan D
20 Isaac Carcelén D
3 Fali Jiménez M
22 A. Espino D
32 Víctor Chust D
7 Salvi M
12 T. Alarcón M
30 Álvaro Bastida M
9 A. Lozano M
21 Sobrino F
Bench (11)
19 S. Arzamendia
2 J. Jønsson
29 M. Osmajić
8 Álex
18 Álvaro Negredo
11 Álvaro Jiménez
26 J. Flere
4 M. López
13 David Gil
27 Iván Chapela
28 Martín Calderón

Coach: Álvaro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,51
U
4,28
B ✓
6,99
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,92
U2,5
1,91
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Isidro Díaz de Mera · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.