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Ligue 1

Referee: J Stinat

Brest

T S U U T

2–0

Full-time

Nice

U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Nice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 17/16 matches

Win Ø 40%

41%

38%

Points per game

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

76%

63%

Both score Ø 61%

65%

56%

Average goals

3,5

2,7

Scored

1,6

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

39% Possession 61%

10 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 1

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 6

2 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brest 11. · Nice 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	17	10	6	1	+20	36
2	Lille	17	10	6	1	+19	36
3	Paris SG	17	11	2	4	+29	35
4	Rennes	17	9	4	4	+7	31
5	Marseille	15	8	4	3	+7	28
6	Monaco	17	8	3	6	+3	27
7	Lens	16	8	3	5	+2	27
8	Montpellier	17	8	3	6	+1	27
9	Angers	17	8	3	6	-3	27
10	Metz	17	6	5	6	+2	23
11	Brest	17	7	2	8	-3	23
12	Nice	16	6	4	6	-1	22
13	Bordeaux	17	6	4	7	-2	22
14	St Etienne	17	4	6	7	-7	18
15	Reims	17	4	5	8	-4	17
16	Nantes	17	3	6	8	-12	15
17	Strasbourg	17	4	2	11	-10	14
18	Lorient	17	3	3	11	-14	12
19	Dijon	17	2	6	9	-14	12
20	Nimes	17	3	3	11	-20	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	9	6	3	0	+13	21
2	Paris SG	9	6	1	2	+17	19
3	Lyon	8	5	3	0	+13	18
4	Monaco	9	5	3	1	+7	18
5	Brest	8	5	1	2	+3	16
6	Rennes	9	5	1	3	+1	16
7	Lens	8	4	2	2	+2	14
8	Metz	8	4	1	3	+2	13
9	Angers	9	4	1	4	-3	13
10	Marseille	7	3	3	1	+3	12
11	Bordeaux	9	3	3	3	+1	12
12	Montpellier	9	4	0	5	-3	12
13	Nantes	8	2	4	2	-4	10
14	St Etienne	8	2	3	3	-2	9
15	Nice	9	2	2	5	-8	8
16	Lorient	8	2	1	5	-3	7
17	Reims	7	2	1	4	-4	7
18	Strasbourg	8	1	2	5	-8	5
19	Dijon	9	0	4	5	-7	4
20	Nimes	9	1	1	7	-13	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	9	5	3	1	+7	18
2	Paris SG	8	5	1	2	+12	16
3	Marseille	8	5	1	2	+4	16
4	Lille	8	4	3	1	+6	15
5	Rennes	8	4	3	1	+6	15
6	Montpellier	8	4	3	1	+4	15
7	Nice	7	4	2	1	+7	14
8	Angers	8	4	2	2	+0	14
9	Lens	8	4	1	3	+0	13
10	Reims	10	2	4	4	+0	10
11	Metz	9	2	4	3	+0	10
12	Bordeaux	8	3	1	4	-3	10
13	Strasbourg	9	3	0	6	-2	9
14	Monaco	8	3	0	5	-4	9
15	St Etienne	9	2	3	4	-5	9
16	Dijon	8	2	2	4	-7	8
17	Nimes	8	2	2	4	-7	8
18	Brest	9	2	1	6	-6	7
19	Nantes	9	1	2	6	-8	5
20	Lorient	9	1	2	6	-11	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.