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Ligue 1
Referee: J Stinat
Dijon
T T T U T
0–0
Full-time
Marseille
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dijon Marseille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
0,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
0,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
18 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dijon 20. · Marseille 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 6 5 0 1 +10 15
2 Angers 6 4 0 2 +3 12
3 Nice 6 4 0 2 +2 12
4 Rennes 6 3 2 1 +3 11
5 Marseille 6 3 2 1 +1 11
6 Lille 6 3 1 2 +2 10
7 Nantes 6 3 1 2 +1 10
8 Bordeaux 6 2 3 1 +2 9
9 Lyon 6 2 2 2 +7 8
10 Reims 6 2 2 2 +2 8
11 Nimes 6 2 2 2 +0 8
12 Montpellier 6 2 2 2 +0 8
13 Toulouse 6 2 2 2 -2 8
14 Amiens 6 2 1 3 -2 7
15 Brest 6 1 4 1 -2 7
16 Strasbourg 6 1 3 2 -2 6
17 St Etienne 6 1 2 3 -6 5
18 Metz 6 1 1 4 -5 4
19 Monaco 6 0 3 3 -7 3
20 Dijon 6 0 1 5 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dijon Marseille
Half-time 0–0
Mounir Chouiar 🟨
54′
S. Mavididi 🔁
↦ Mama Baldé
63′
67′
🔁 N. Radonjić
↦ M. Lopez
Hamza Mendyl 🟨
69′
71′
🟨 Lucas Perrin
74′
🟨 Morgan Sanson
75′
🟨 Valère Germain
78′
🔁 I. Lihadji
↦ H. Sakai
W. Lautoa 🔁
↦ R. Amalfitano
80′
Matheus Pereira 🔁
↦ M. Chouiar
81′
83′
🔁 V. Rongier
↦ V. Germain
Matheus Pereira 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Dijon

4-2-3-1
16 A. Gomis G
25 B. Écuélé Manga D
26 F. Chafik D
4 N. Aguerd D
27 H. Mendyl D
20 R. Amalfitano M
22 D. Ndong M
17 Mama Baldé M
8 B. Soumaré M
11 Júlio Tavares F
21 M. Chouiar M
Bench (7)
9 S. Mavididi
24 W. Lautoa
10 Matheus Pereira
3 G. Ngonda
15 F. Balmont
1 R. Rúnarsson
2 M. Alphonse

Coach: S. Jobard

Marseille

4-3-3
30 S. Mandanda G
2 H. Sakai D
17 B. Sarr F
18 J. Amavi D
15 D. Ćaleta-Car D
32 L. Perrin D
12 K. Strootman M
8 M. Sanson M
27 M. Lopez M
9 D. Benedetto F
28 V. Germain F
Bench (7)
7 N. Radonjić
33 I. Lihadji
21 V. Rongier
36 M. Aké
29 F. Chabrolle
16 Y. Pelé
24 S. Khaoui

Coach: André Villas-Boas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,61
U ✓
3,40
B
2,09
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,02
U2,5 ✓
1,81
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Stinat · 142 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.