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Serie A
Referee: G Ayroldi
Sampdoria
U T T S S
2–3
Full-time
Sassuolo
T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Sassuolo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,3
1,8
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Serie A · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 42%
38%
46%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
85%
46%
Both score Ø 66%
77%
54%
Average goals
3,2
2,9
Scored
1,6
1,8
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%
14 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 8
9 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
14 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sampdoria 10. · Sassuolo 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 14 10 3 1 +17 33
2 Milan 13 9 4 0 +15 31
3 Napoli 12 8 0 4 +15 24
4 Juventus 13 6 6 1 +12 24
5 Roma 13 7 3 3 +7 24
6 Sassuolo 13 6 5 2 +8 23
7 Atalanta 12 6 3 3 +8 21
8 Lazio 13 6 3 4 +0 21
9 Verona 14 5 5 4 +4 20
10 Sampdoria 13 5 2 6 +0 17
11 Udinese 12 4 3 5 -1 15
12 Benevento 13 4 3 6 -8 15
13 Cagliari 13 3 5 5 -5 14
14 Fiorentina 14 3 5 6 -5 14
15 Bologna 13 4 2 7 -6 14
16 Parma 14 2 6 6 -12 12
17 Spezia 13 2 5 6 -9 11
18 Crotone 14 2 3 9 -16 9
19 Torino 13 1 4 8 -10 7
20 Genoa 13 1 4 8 -14 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sampdoria Sassuolo
2′
H. Traorè 0–1
F. Caputo
34′
🟨 Francesco Caputo
Adrien Silva 🔁
↦ M. Thorsby
37′
44′
🟨 Francesco Magnanelli
Half-time 0–1
Omar Colley 🟨
49′
1–1 F. Quagliarella
M. Yoshida
55′
56′
F. Caputo 1–2
58′
D. Berardi 1–3
59′
🔁 Pedro Obiang
↦ F. Magnanelli
68′
🟨 Vlad Chiricheş
Lorenzo Tonelli 🟨
72′
72′
🔁 K. Ayhan
↦ M. Müldür
A. Candreva 🔁
↦ M. Damsgaard
73′
K. Baldé 🔁
↦ G. Ramírez
73′
M. Léris 🔁
↦ M. Yoshida
73′
73′
🔁 G. Raspadori
↦ F. Caputo
V. Verre 🔁
↦ J. Jankto
81′
2–3 K. Baldé
A. Candreva
84′
87′
🔁 L. Haraslín
↦ D. Berardi
87′
🔁 F. Peluso
↦ V. Chiricheș
Keita Baldé 🟥
90′
90′
🟨 Manuel Locatelli
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Sampdoria

4-4-2
1 E. Audero G
22 M. Yoshida D
21 L. Tonelli D
15 O. Colley D
3 T. Augello D
6 A. Ekdal M
11 G. Ramírez F
18 M. Thorsby M
14 J. Jankto M
38 M. Damsgaard M
27 F. Quagliarella F
Bench (11)
5 Adrien Silva
87 A. Candreva
10 K. Baldé
26 M. Léris
8 V. Verre
2 Kaique Rocha
34 K. Letica
20 A. La Gumina
30 N. Ravaglia
19 V. Regini
16 K. Askildsen

Coach: C. Ranieri

Sassuolo

4-2-3-1
47 A. Consigli G
21 V. Chiricheș D
31 G. Ferrari D
77 G. Kiriakopoulos D
17 M. Müldür D
4 F. Magnanelli M
73 M. Locatelli M
23 H. Traorè M
9 F. Caputo F
25 D. Berardi M
7 J. Boga M
Bench (12)
14 Pedro Obiang
5 K. Ayhan
18 G. Raspadori
27 L. Haraslín
13 F. Peluso
30 B. Oddei
68 M. Bourabia
22 J. Toljan
63 S. Turati
2 Marlon
8 M. Lopez
56 G. Pegolo

Coach: R. De Zerbi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,65
U
3,52
B ✓
2,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,70
U2,5
2,15
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Ayroldi · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.