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Süper Lig
Referee: Bahattin Simsek
Fenerbahce
S T S T T
4–1
Full-time
Buyuksehyr
S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Buyuksehyr
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
4,0
3,7
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Süper Lig · 13/12 matches
Win Ø 44%
54%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
69%
50%
Both score Ø 60%
62%
58%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
15 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
7 Corners 10
3 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Fenerbahce 3. · Buyuksehyr 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alanyaspor 14 8 3 3 +14 27
2 Galatasaray 13 8 2 3 +13 26
3 Fenerbahce 13 7 2 4 +4 23
4 Besiktas 12 7 1 4 +6 22
5 Gaziantep 12 5 6 1 +5 21
6 Hatayspor 13 6 3 4 -2 21
7 Karagumruk 13 5 5 3 +6 20
8 Yeni Malatyaspor 13 5 5 3 +3 20
9 Trabzonspor 14 5 5 4 -1 20
10 Goztep 14 4 6 4 +3 18
11 Kasimpasa 13 5 3 5 -1 18
12 Antalyaspor 13 4 5 4 -2 17
13 Konyaspor 12 4 3 5 +3 15
14 Buyuksehyr 12 4 3 5 +0 15
15 Rizespor 12 4 3 5 -3 15
16 Sivasspor 12 3 5 4 -2 14
17 Genclerbirligi 12 3 3 6 -8 12
18 Denizlispor 13 3 3 7 -9 12
19 Kayserispor 12 2 4 6 -8 10
20 Ankaragücü 12 2 3 7 -6 9
21 Erzurumspor 14 2 3 9 -15 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fenerbahce Buyuksehyr
6′
M. Tekdemir 0–1
Luiz Gustavo 🟨
12′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 N. Sangaré
47′
Caner Erkin 🟨
50′
2–1 M. Tisserand
60′
61′
🟨 Mahmut Tekdemir
64′
🔁 E. Višća
↦ H. Kaldırım
70′
🟨 Rafael
71′
🟨 Rafael
71′
🟥 Rafael
74′
🟨 İrfan Can Kahveci
74′
🟥 İrfan Can Kahveci
F. Kadıoğlu 🔁
↦ K. Ademi
74′
81′
🔁 B. Özcan
↦ E. Crivelli
81′
🔁 Giuliano
↦ D. Aleksić
81′
🔁 F. Gulbrandsen
↦ N. Chadli
J. Sosa 🔁
↦ S. Gümüş
82′
3–1 Luiz Gustavo
C. Erkin
84′
P. Cissé 🔁
↦ C. Erkin
88′
88′
🔁 Ponck
↦ D. Türüç
4–1 M. Yandaş
M. Thiam
89′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Fenerbahce

4-4-2
1 A. Bayındır G
4 S. Aziz D
88 C. Erkin M
37 F. Novák D
26 M. Tisserand D
35 N. Sangaré D
20 Luiz Gustavo M
8 M. Yandaş M
27 M. Thiam F
29 S. Gümüş M
99 K. Ademi F
Bench (10)
16 F. Kadıoğlu
5 J. Sosa
9 P. Cissé
77 G. Gönül
15 H. Tekin
33 F. Şanlitürk
70 S. Ahmetoğlu
57 E. Akcan
18 S. Çiftpınar
30 Ö. Beyaz

Coach: E. Bulut

Buyuksehyr

4-1-4-1
1 V. Babacan G
37 M. Škrtel D
6 A. Epureanu D
3 H. Kaldırım D
4 Rafael D
21 M. Tekdemir M
8 D. Aleksić M
11 N. Chadli M
17 İ. Kahveci M
23 D. Türüç M
27 E. Crivelli F
Bench (10)
7 E. Višća
10 B. Özcan
20 Giuliano
22 F. Gulbrandsen
26 Ponck
29 K. Frei
88 C. Sertel
14 A. Okechukwu
5 M. Topal
13 A. Kıvanç

Coach: O. Buruk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,28
U
3,32
B
3,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,66
U2,5
2,21
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bahattin Simsek · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,40 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.