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Serie A

Referee: F Maresca

Lecce

T T T T T

2–1

Full-time

Lazio

S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lecce Lazio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

5,2

3,5

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

4,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-3,2

+0,2

This season — Serie A · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 45%

20%

70%

Points per game

0,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 73%

73%

Both score Ø 63%

63%

Average goals

3,6

3,2

Scored

1,3

2,2

Conceded

2,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,1

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

42% Possession 58%

7 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 10

5 Blocked shots 4

8 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 14

0 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Lecce 18. · Lazio 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	30	24	3	3	+37	75
2	Lazio	30	21	5	4	+35	68
3	Inter	30	19	7	4	+32	64
4	Atalanta	30	19	6	5	+44	63
5	Roma	30	14	6	10	+12	48
6	Napoli	30	14	6	10	+8	48
7	Milan	30	13	7	10	+2	46
8	Verona	30	11	9	10	+1	42
9	Bologna	30	11	8	11	-4	41
10	Sassuolo	30	11	7	12	+3	40
11	Cagliari	30	10	9	11	+2	39
12	Parma	30	11	6	13	+1	39
13	Fiorentina	30	8	10	12	-6	34
14	Sampdoria	30	9	5	16	-15	32
15	Udinese	30	8	8	14	-16	32
16	Torino	30	9	4	17	-22	31
17	Genoa	30	6	9	15	-21	27
18	Lecce	30	6	7	17	-32	25
19	Brescia	30	5	6	19	-31	21
20	Spal	30	5	4	21	-30	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	15	14	1	0	+28	43
2	Lazio	16	12	3	1	+27	39
3	Inter	16	9	5	2	+19	32
4	Atalanta	15	9	2	4	+20	29
5	Verona	15	8	3	4	+5	27
6	Roma	15	7	3	5	+6	24
7	Sassuolo	15	7	2	6	+8	23
8	Napoli	15	7	2	6	+2	23
9	Cagliari	15	6	2	7	+3	20
10	Milan	14	5	5	4	+0	20
11	Udinese	15	5	5	5	-3	20
12	Parma	15	6	1	8	+3	19
13	Sampdoria	16	5	4	7	-4	19
14	Bologna	15	4	6	5	-4	18
15	Torino	15	5	3	7	-11	18
16	Fiorentina	15	3	6	6	-6	15
17	Genoa	14	4	1	9	-9	13
18	Lecce	15	2	5	8	-11	11
19	Brescia	15	2	4	9	-10	10
20	Spal	14	2	3	9	-10	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	15	10	4	1	+24	34
2	Inter	14	10	2	2	+13	32
3	Juventus	15	10	2	3	+9	32
4	Lazio	14	9	2	3	+8	29
5	Milan	16	8	2	6	+2	26
6	Napoli	15	7	4	4	+6	25
7	Roma	15	7	3	5	+6	24
8	Bologna	15	7	2	6	+0	23
9	Parma	15	5	5	5	-2	20
10	Fiorentina	15	5	4	6	+0	19
11	Cagliari	15	4	7	4	-1	19
12	Sassuolo	15	4	5	6	-5	17
13	Verona	15	3	6	6	-4	15
14	Genoa	16	2	8	6	-12	14
15	Lecce	15	4	2	9	-21	14
16	Torino	15	4	1	10	-11	13
17	Sampdoria	14	4	1	9	-11	13
18	Udinese	15	3	3	9	-13	12
19	Brescia	15	3	2	10	-21	11
20	Spal	16	3	1	12	-20	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.