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KNVB Beker
Referee: J van der Laan
1–2
Full-time
VVV Venlo
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dongen VVV Venlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
1,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hercules 3 2 0 1 +4 6
2 De Treffers 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 ADO '20 3 2 0 1 +3 6
4 URK 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Spakenburg 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 Sportlust '46 3 2 0 1 -1 6
7 Staphorst 3 1 1 1 +1 4
8 Kozakken Boys 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Hoek 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 OFC Oostzaan 1 1 0 0 +4 3
11 Volendam 1 1 0 0 +4 3
12 Excelsior 1 1 0 0 +4 3
13 Blauw Geel 1 1 0 0 +4 3
14 DVS 33 Ermelo 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Groningen 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Cambuur 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Utrecht 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Heerenveen 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 HV & CV Quick 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 De Graafschap 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Den Bosch 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Go Ahead Eagles 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Almere City 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Den Haag 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Nijmegen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Dongen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 FC Emmen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 FC Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Telstar 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 NAC Breda 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Excelsior '31 2 1 0 1 +0 3
32 Groene Ster 2 1 0 1 +0 3
33 TEC 2 1 0 1 +0 3
34 GVVV Veenendaal 2 1 0 1 -1 3
35 Rijnvogels 2 1 0 1 -2 3
36 AFC Amsterdam 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Hsc 21 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 RKAV Volendam 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Roda 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Heracles 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Vitesse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 SVV Scheveningen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 Ijsselmeervogels 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 GVV Unitas 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 DEM 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Harkemase Boys 2 0 1 1 -4 1
47 VVOG 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 For Sittard 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 OJC Rosmalen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 ASWH 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Quick Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Gemert 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 OSS '20 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Excelsior Maassluis 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Dovo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 ACV 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 UNA 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Sparta Nijkerk 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Willem II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Koninklijke HFC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 JOS Watergraafsmeer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Noordwijk 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Rijnsburgse Boys 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 Helmond Sport 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Barendrecht 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 FC OSS 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 Waalwijk 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -3 0
70 FC Lisse 1 0 0 1 -3 0
71 Vvsb 1 0 0 1 -3 0
72 Dordrecht 1 0 0 1 -3 0
73 UDI '19 1 0 0 1 -4 0
74 Ter Leede 1 0 0 1 -4 0
75 MVV 1 0 0 1 -4 0
76 Baronie 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dongen VVV Venlo
1–0 T. Avontuur
12′
T. Avontuur 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Janssen
↦ S. Dirks
46′
🔁 S. Braken
↦ K. Kristinsson
46′
🔁 T. Dekker
↦ R. Sedláček
S. Bastmeijer 🔁
↦ R. Siemerink
58′
61′
🔁 N. Venema
↦ L. Smans
68′
🔁 T. Verheijen
↦ C. Johansson
74′
T. Verheijen 1–1
N. Venema
Giovanni Bombarda 🔁
↦ G. Clemens
75′
R. Talboom 🔁
↦ A. Sesay
84′
90′
S. Braken 1–2
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Dongen

22 S. Heijstee
6 L. Hultermans
10 F. Kamaçi
4 T. Martens
8 T. Avontuur
14 S. Spijkers
23 J. Longo
2 G. Clemens
17 M. van Bree
15 A. Sesay
11 R. Siemerink
Bench (6)
9 S. Bastmeijer
19 Giovanni Bombarda
7 R. Talboom
5 D. Ercan
21 S. Daver
18 D. Solak

Coach: O. Erbaş

VVV Venlo

1 E. van der Gouw
2 B. Koglin
4 R. Ketting
3 S. Dirks
13 R. Sedláček
6 M. van Rooijen
12 J. Kluskens
14 L. Smans
7 C. Johansson
21 K. Kristinsson
19 Y. Roemer
Bench (12)
5 S. Janssen
9 S. Braken
17 T. Dekker
10 N. Venema
11 T. Verheijen
22 T. Schrick
23 D. Huisman
24 L. Vosselman
16 R. Klaasen
8 K. de Boer
29 Ö. Yaşar
30 J. Craenmehr

Coach: R. Kruijs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J van der Laan · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.