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Serie A

Referee: M Serra

Napoli

S S S S U

3–0

Full-time

Bologna

U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Bologna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

2,3

4,7

Scored

2,2

1,8

Conceded

0,2

2,8

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-1,0

This season — Serie A · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 61%

89%

33%

Points per game

2,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

56%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,4

3,8

Scored

2,1

1,7

Conceded

0,3

2,1

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

65% Possession 35%

18 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

20 Free kicks against 5

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Napoli 2. · Bologna 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	10	9	1	0	+14	28
2	Napoli	9	8	1	0	+16	25
3	Inter	10	6	3	1	+14	21
4	Roma	10	6	1	3	+8	19
5	Atalanta	10	5	3	2	+6	18
6	Lazio	10	5	2	3	+3	17
7	Juventus	10	4	3	3	+1	15
8	Fiorentina	10	5	0	5	+0	15
9	Sassuolo	10	4	2	4	+1	14
10	Verona	10	3	3	4	+3	12
11	Bologna	9	3	3	3	-4	12
12	Empoli	10	4	0	6	-6	12
13	Torino	10	3	2	5	+1	11
14	Udinese	10	2	5	3	-2	11
15	Sampdoria	10	2	3	5	-6	9
16	Venezia	10	2	2	6	-9	8
17	Spezia	10	2	2	6	-11	8
18	Genoa	10	1	4	5	-7	7
19	Salernitana	10	2	1	7	-12	7
20	Cagliari	10	1	3	6	-10	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	5	5	0	0	+9	15
2	Lazio	5	4	1	0	+9	13
3	Roma	5	4	1	0	+6	13
4	Napoli	4	4	0	0	+6	12
5	Bologna	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Verona	5	3	0	2	+5	9
7	Inter	4	2	2	0	+9	8
8	Torino	5	2	1	2	+3	7
9	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Juventus	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Fiorentina	4	2	0	2	+1	6
12	Udinese	6	1	3	2	-2	6
13	Atalanta	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Cagliari	6	1	2	3	-2	5
15	Sampdoria	6	1	2	3	-6	5
16	Venezia	4	1	1	2	-1	4
17	Spezia	5	1	1	3	-2	4
18	Salernitana	5	1	1	3	-6	4
19	Empoli	6	1	0	5	-9	3
20	Genoa	4	0	2	2	-2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	5	4	1	0	+10	13
2	Atalanta	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Inter	6	4	1	1	+5	13
4	Milan	5	4	1	0	+5	13
5	Empoli	4	3	0	1	+3	9
6	Fiorentina	6	3	0	3	-1	9
7	Juventus	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Roma	5	2	0	3	+2	6
10	Udinese	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Genoa	6	1	2	3	-5	5
12	Sampdoria	4	1	1	2	+0	4
13	Torino	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	Lazio	5	1	1	3	-6	4
15	Venezia	6	1	1	4	-8	4
16	Spezia	5	1	1	3	-9	4
17	Verona	5	0	3	2	-2	3
18	Salernitana	5	1	0	4	-6	3
19	Bologna	4	0	2	2	-7	2
20	Cagliari	4	0	1	3	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.