Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Degerfors
Elfsborg
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Malmo FF
|
25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | +24 | 48 |
| 2 |
Djurgarden
|
24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | +17 | 47 |
| 3 |
AIK
|
25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | +13 | 47 |
| 4 |
Elfsborg
|
24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | +16 | 45 |
| 5 |
Hammarby
|
25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | +9 | 43 |
| 6 |
Norrkoping
|
24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | +8 | 39 |
| 7 |
Kalmar
|
25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | +0 | 38 |
| 8 |
Hacken
|
25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | +5 | 32 |
| 9 |
Varberg
|
25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | -3 | 30 |
| 10 |
Sirius
|
25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | -15 | 30 |
| 11 |
Goteborg
|
24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -4 | 28 |
| 12 |
Degerfors
|
24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | -14 | 28 |
| 13 |
Mjallby
|
24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | +1 | 27 |
| 14 |
Halmstad
|
24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | -4 | 26 |
| 15 | Orebro | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | -31 | 16 |
| 16 | Ostersunds | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | -22 | 14 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Degerfors
Degerfors
Halmstad
Varberg
Degerfors
Degerfors
AIK
Djurgarden
Degerfors
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.