Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Como
Pordenone
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Pisa
|
9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 20 |
| 2 |
Brescia
|
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 18 |
| 3 |
Lecce
|
10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 4 |
Benevento
|
9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |
Cremonese
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 6 |
Reggina
|
9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 |
Frosinone
|
10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |
Perugia
|
9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 9 |
Ascoli
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +0 | 14 |
| 10 |
Monza
|
10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +0 | 14 |
| 11 |
Cosenza
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 |
Spal
|
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 13 |
| 13 |
Ternana
|
10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | +0 | 13 |
| 14 |
Cittadella
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 15 |
Parma
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 16 |
Como
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 17 | Alessandria | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 18 |
Crotone
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 |
Vicenza
|
10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 4 |
| 20 | Pordenone | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -17 | 2 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Spal
Como
Como
Brescia
Como
Como
Benevento
Cosenza
Como
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.