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La Liga

Referee: Adrián Cordero

Valladolid

T S S U T

3–2

Full-time

Osasuna

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Osasuna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,3

This season — La Liga · 12/11 matches

Win Ø 22%

17%

27%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

33%

27%

Both score Ø 43%

58%

27%

Average goals

2,4

2,1

Scored

0,9

0,7

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

46% Possession 54%

11 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 18

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valladolid 19. · Osasuna 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	10	8	2	0	+19	26
2	Sociedad	12	7	4	1	+17	25
3	Villarreal	12	5	6	1	+4	21
4	Real Madrid	11	6	2	3	+5	20
5	Cadiz	12	5	3	4	-2	18
6	Sevilla	10	5	1	4	+3	16
7	Granada	11	4	3	4	-6	15
8	Betis	12	5	0	7	-9	15
9	Barcelona	10	4	2	4	+9	14
10	Elche	10	3	5	2	-1	14
11	Eibar	12	3	5	4	-1	14
12	Alaves	12	3	5	4	-2	14
13	Valencia	12	3	4	5	+0	13
14	Ath Bilbao	11	4	1	6	+0	13
15	Getafe	11	3	4	4	-4	13
16	Celta	12	3	4	5	-7	13
17	Levante	11	2	5	4	-2	11
18	Osasuna	11	3	2	6	-7	11
19	Valladolid	12	2	4	6	-7	10
20	Huesca	12	0	8	4	-9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	6	5	1	0	+14	16
2	Villarreal	7	4	3	0	+6	15
3	Sociedad	6	3	2	1	+7	11
4	Granada	6	3	2	1	+2	11
5	Barcelona	5	3	1	1	+9	10
6	Getafe	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	Ath Bilbao	5	3	0	2	+4	9
8	Sevilla	5	3	0	2	+2	9
9	Valencia	6	2	2	2	+2	8
10	Alaves	7	1	4	2	-2	7
11	Osasuna	6	2	1	3	-3	7
12	Real Madrid	4	2	0	2	+2	6
13	Levante	5	1	3	1	+1	6
14	Betis	5	2	0	3	-2	6
15	Valladolid	6	1	3	2	-2	6
16	Elche	5	1	3	1	-2	6
17	Celta	5	2	0	3	-5	6
18	Cadiz	6	1	2	3	-4	5
19	Eibar	7	0	4	3	-4	4
20	Huesca	5	0	3	2	-3	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	6	4	2	0	+10	14
2	Real Madrid	7	4	2	1	+3	14
3	Cadiz	6	4	1	1	+2	13
4	Ath Madrid	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Eibar	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Betis	7	3	0	4	-7	9
7	Elche	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Sevilla	5	2	1	2	+1	7
9	Alaves	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Celta	7	1	4	2	-2	7
11	Villarreal	5	1	3	1	-2	6
12	Valencia	6	1	2	3	-2	5
13	Levante	6	1	2	3	-3	5
14	Huesca	7	0	5	2	-6	5
15	Barcelona	5	1	1	3	+0	4
16	Ath Bilbao	6	1	1	4	-4	4
17	Osasuna	5	1	1	3	-4	4
18	Valladolid	6	1	1	4	-5	4
19	Granada	5	1	1	3	-8	4
20	Getafe	5	0	3	2	-6	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.